Hey man, thanks for your in depth reply, i appreciate your opinion and all, another question, how do you feel about stablecoins possibly banned soon? They are all tied to a central entity, which means they can be stopped/screwed big time.
Another reason to realize how/why Bitcoin (BTC only) is such a great technology.
Really nice question - bringing up what I think right now is the most important consideration in the world of crypto and blockchain, which 99% of people are not thinking about but should be.
The only successful implementations of stablecoins to date have been collateralised stablecoins - ie. Tether has USD as collateral, MakerDAO uses an ETH-based collateral system.
By their very nature, fiat-backed stablecoins are
completely vulnerable to banning, unlike Bitcoin or 99% of other cryptocurrencies. A government can easily create laws to stop banks from being able to provide financial services to stablecoin operators and then where do they store their USD? They don't.
But, all stablecoins aren't collateralised.. super important point. It's just that non-collaterialised stablecoins (aka algorithmic stablecoins) are not easy to implement like Tether etc are, and so aren't prominently considered when people talk about stablecoins and their potential. It takes a huge amount of technical knowledge, like way past post-grad level computer science, math, economics all in one, to be able to design something like this that actually works and will still work in 20 years.
It's akin to creating Bitcoin again, but this time creating something bigger than Bitcoin (IMO). The reason is that Bitcoin's usecase is pretty expansive right now compared to where it started out, but in reality in the grand scheme of all human financial activity, it is very limited.
An algorithmic stablecoin would:
a) not be able to be shutdown and would be truly decentralised
b) very quickly gain multi-billion-dollar levels of adoption because of the complexity of creating one providing a "moat" for second movers, combined with the unparallelled scope of application for the asset.
c) would make those that created it wealthier than Jeff Bezos if they monetised it in the right way (probably even if they didn't).
d) would lead to
true mainstream adoption, where many people are being paid in x stablecoin within the next few years.
e) would uproot the current financial system completely. That's the reason that central banks are focusing on stablecoins but they didn't so much with BTC - they're rightfully very worried about it, and know they need to get it under control because it's only a matter of time until the balance of power shifts away from them in a pretty significant way.
IMO, Bitcoin will never, ever be able to dislodge fiat currencies.. but a stablecoin that is distributed like Bitcoin, free or close to free to use, instantaneously transferred, has a clear and understandable mechanism for transitioning from USD-pegging to self-pegging when appropriate, and runs on an algorithm built well enough that no unexpected scenario could lead to a collapse in its value... that wouldn't only dislodge them, the volume of funds that would flood into that asset in a relatively short period of time would be absolutely unprecedented.
I think it would be bigger than the advent of Bitcoin, if that's possible to imagine.