My Trading Journey

[Crazy_P2024]

Good luck bro!

 

[terunoz]

Good luck bro!

thanks bro !!

 

[terunoz]

Finished Data Logging for USDJPY, 1 Year worth of Backtesting Data for my Setup 1 with more than 2000+ trades in total
View attachment 421115
I have yet to complete for XAUUSD

Remaining Tasks :

Finish Backtesting XAUUSD for Setup 1 , Setup 2 & Search & Destroy setups
Improve my Swing Model for JPY pairs
To get some knowledge regarding implementing AI with Trading and more Maths
Check my new strategy for the Crypto pairs

Hoping to finish it within the next 2 weeks

I have not taken any trades on the 5k Funded Acc & 10k Challenge Acc

I forgot some stuff i went to say will write again later

Anyways Happy Valentines Day to BHW members

I have been improving my swing model for the JPY pairs, I have been noticing a pattern with USDJPY which is my main JPY pair

basically swings for someone who doesn't know is it's swing trading, so the point of this is to trade on the bigger moves that takes atleast some few days or usually weeks bc it can last a long time
so Swings mainly 2 different types of swings :

• Swing High
• Swing LoW

here is an image to take an understanding



if it is not clear here is another image ( not mine )



so the point of this is to trade on these big movements, the chart image I added was on daily TF ( time frame ) so each candle is 1 day so thats how long it takes to finish 1 candle, now the trading will look something like this ( this is not what exactly what will happen but our goal to capitalize on these swings are similar but not exact )




in this image its 2 long posistions, which means u buy and expect the price to go higher which happened as we look at the chart as these are huge movements from the first trade alone it has moved around 1330+ pips so let's say you bought 1 lot of USDJPY at the entry price 141.641 and closed / sold the trade at 155.003 that is 1336.2 pips to be exact so with 1 lot of USDJPY we are looking at a profit of $8800+



now is this the amount u will get ? no absolute not this is not the entry or exit u are going to get market is unpredictable so it can change but we can take a portion of this ( to do the calculation u can use this site (https://www.forextime.com/trading-tools/trading-calculator/profit-calculator) but this is an example of the trade, now i have to let you know do not aim for the profit or dont look at this money and focus on it but focus on improving your skills and mastering the art of trading its not about the money, money will come to you when you are good at the market ( i may not articulate the words in a way to interest u but just the point is, Money is not the focus the journey is the Focus )

so now i forgot what i was going to say next, anyways why did i talk abt this ? idk i wanted to share it maybe someone will get an idea regarding this and willl be useful or may not

back to my progress i have been improving my swing setups ( i may have said this earlier )
the bactesting for USDJPY is done, something I want to do is check the movement similarities with the other JPY pairs also so multi asset but same base asset trading can be done that might be really useful

so yeah i have been using a new book instead of the the google docs bc i dont know i feel like if i write it will be in my mind more but i think theres scientific proof that it is true but my handwriting is shit since i write really fast but i can read it so its good

other than that, i probably forgot some few stuff i was going to add, i couldnt check my new stratergy which ill do later after finishing improving my swing setups

and my keyboard is shit, it is hard for me to type for a longer time so i decided to order a new keyboard and mouse today, something that can make me work for a longer time without having my wrists and fingers hurting

so yeah other than that i will write anything else after i remember them, im gonna go back to the work

anyways hope yall doing great, im doing ok ( lmfao ok looks like a stickman who has been turned -90 degrees or a 270 degrees to the clockwise direction )

 

[terunoz]

These last few days, I have been kind of lazy but getting something done atleast which im okay abt

also I have been learning about more interesting concepts that I have not touched before, i mean they are not concepts but more like essentials and important stuff that would help to improve

for example I didnt know what was sharpe ratio but now i have a basic understanding abt it

so yeah i have been following that, automating stratergies with python, saw something also about neural networks and trading which is something i have never heard before

yes i feel like i m chasing after shiny objects, so i wont push deep into them but i will learn the stuff i really want need to improve for example sharpe ratio was a very good concept that i learnt, which really helps me to manage my risk while also managing the returns

other than that, my main goal is to understand and get good at this art and science and i think money will follow with it

wont give up but will procrastinate lmfao but yeah gonna keep pushing

 

[terunoz]

been finishing the setup 2 improvs other than that nothing to note down

ordered a keyboard waiting for it bc my fingrs get tired when i type for a long time and when i trade its too hard to press the butons i have like a shit keyboard and shit mouse , the mouse came but the keyboard dint waiting for it atm

anyways funded accs have not been used to mention enuf, just some small trades to keep it active so yeah

good week inc, good day and good day to u

 

[MR.Spuf]

Good luck brother, keep us posted. I love the commitment. I can never do trading, but I'm only doing swing trading which is fine for me.

 

[Dorothy ProxyLite]

Good luck with the journey.

 

[Racc00n]

in this image its 2 long posistions, which means u buy and expect the price to go higher

well, the previous swing low has been taken out by a swipe, but if you don't consider it a break (until it closes below) then you have a nice long setup right in front of your face.
it's either "buy here and target EQ of the range for 3R" or "buy here and target weak high for almost 7R".

 

[terunoz]

Good luck brother, keep us posted. I love the commitment. I can never do trading, but I'm only doing swing trading which is fine for me.

Thanks man, fs. how is it going for u ? i hope the swing trading is going good for u.

Good luck with the journey.

thanks.

well, the previous swing low has been taken out by a swipe, but if you don't consider it a break (until it closes below) then you have a nice long setup right in front of your face.
it's either "buy here and target EQ of the range for 3R" or "buy here and target weak high for almost 7R".

View attachment 424739

yeah thats a great perspective also

 

[MR.Spuf]

Thanks man, fs. how is it going for u ? i hope the swing trading is going good for u.

It's a wait game, nothing fancy. I am trying to avoid the buy high sell low trap Also I am doing excl crypto, spot trading

 

[terunoz]

It's a wait game, nothing fancy. I am trying to avoid the buy high sell low trap Also I am doing excl crypto, spot trading

makes sense , thats great to hear brother. everything good will come to u inshallah

 

[terunoz]

so i came across a dilemma today, i finished collecting data for my setup 2 ( swing model ) its more like enhancing it, some of the times i get the lowest possible entries and these trades extend for month than 1 month for example i got a entry from january which continued till the july month and huge movement but swing ttrading from my knowledge doesnt have 3+ months durations fs which i have to check now wait


yeah so i dont want to do position trading i feel like its too long of a time, and let me also calculate swap charges if i hold for 1 week , 1 month , 3 months , 6 months ill be using 1 lot for example, and a buy trade on USDJPY considering a margin / acc of 10k

so after i did the calculation and also asked ftmo support the formula they told to use was "You can use the following formula to calculate the swap for all instruments (except Cryptocurrencies):-
Swap for Forex = Lot size * Contract Size * Digit position * Swap rate * Days (with 3 days swaps)"

so considering this if i buy 0.4 lots of USDJPY, a Buy Long Posistion, and a Swap Long rate of 9.89 ( in points ) and held from Monday to next week Monday and if the swap distribution as follows



Daily swap in usd will be 0.4 × 100,000 × 0.01 × 9.89 = $39.56 per day, kind of costly so holding this trade for

1 week ( monday to next week monday ) cost me $276.92 so the minmum amount of pips i require to break even my trade if i hold it for 7 days is 70 pips, and if we make 100 pips or more my profit will be $4 per pip, 100 pips is $400 profit so 276.92 swap will leave me with $123.08 which is not good tbh

Now 1 Week Swap cost - $276.92
1 Month - $1186.80
3 Months - $3560.40
6 months - $7120.80

everytime the no of days increase the amount of pips required to break even a trade increase which is ok but the swap charge is kind of high but am i sure with this calculation ? no. not really so what i will do is using a trial acc of FTMO i will enter a trade and calculate the swap charge and with a proper example and proper result i can do the other calculations properly as i like to do stuf practically and learn

so yeah swap is costly bois if i do position trading, will do the calculations again with real results and find a solution for this soon ( something other than swap free accs bc as i remember ftmo doesnt have swap free accs fundednext does , ill see abt this ) other than that i forgot what i was going to say as i was reearching whether ftmo had swap free accs but they doesnt seem to and i have to go out

anyways good weekened , and hope yall doing great

 

[terunoz]

My keyboard just arrived kind of not used to this new one since its a 60% keyboard but better than the ones i had, thankful for this
if i really type something out without editing looking at a picture this is what it would like



i just realized i dont have arrow keys fck

the quick broiwn fox jumps over the klazy dog

so yeah ill get used to this fast

anyways waiting for the market open, i thought today was monday and i woke up early to realize it was sunday and then i got my packages today so its cool

 

[terunoz]

im used to the keyboard already ( more than i was in the morning fs lol ) , SO

i was just doing work whole day today idk why didnt feel tired at all kept working continuosly and i found so much shit and improved so much shit

starting with analyzing my trading data, after the data i converted it to .csv then used google collab with chatgpt and deepseek

i m a pattern person i like patterns , so my goal was to find patterns , and check whether it can happen over and over

i used percentage occurences and Chi squres to check whether a pattern can be valid or not ( being honest i didnt know much abt these until i started watching yt videos also im not saying i still know a shit ton abt them just learning )

for example something i noticed was getting entries at a specific time does it relate to getting out at a exit time then i used contingency tables and chi square again and realized there is not a big significance but i used my new swing model data only so i was not sure whether the data set was too small unlike my 2024 year data set which i have to check but contains both swing and day trading setups

i forgot what iwent to say

so yeah today wsa good as usual , im writing in my journal also market opens tmrw , maybe one day after i finish with this or after at the good point im targetting for ill share the pdf bc im using google docs so , so much shit so much bs but good shi also and no i wont charge money lmfao im not a course seller never intending to be either anywahs that was out of topic

yes i may sound like im talking pure BS yeah im thinking the same i feel like im getting obssesed over this and going insane but whatever man ill be obsessed over this and cook its just my type ig

im going to then automate after getting some more hands on / manual experience with my swing model so i can work efficient with teh data which ill teach along the way when i m learning also

anyways great weekened, hoping it was the same for yall

lets cook
-terunoz

 

[terunoz]

Couldn't write for sometime, was busy with some stuff and I have been resetting my OS for last 2 days on my pcs
Things I am currently doing and was able to accomplish,

I carried out analysis on my data like finding optimal timings , exits , average movement , durations of my trades and stuff like that and I can see it has been going good I have analyzed the data I collected for my swing model only not the other data sheet with the most data, this Swing Model data sheet I finished it last month as I said I will finish it before end of February

Here is what it looks like, also I journaled and wrote everything in one document and had my results of these data analysis also in the same document but decided to seperate it so it's more clear and when I'm trading I can take a quick understanding without having to read and trying to find the information I need for as its a mess since I write everything regarding trading there.

I have attached a image of my results document one page down below,



i have been using python to analyze the data as it would be more efficient and i wouldnt make mistakes when doing the stats, for example to generate me results for "

What percentage of High RR ( >10) Trades come from a certain entry window?" which means​

what percentage of my trades which has a RR ( risk to reward ) greater than 10 RR comes from a certain time window , for example most people use zones like asia zone , new york zone , london zone and i have attached a basic image of the zones down below also ( there is a lot to zones said by different people this is just for people who dont know what zones are so ) , but I use my own timing windows , so to write a small code snippet would be something like this also before doing this you have to export your excel / sheet as a .csv as it easier with python ( even better if u can use SQL but frankly im not much good at it, but i will learn it soon ig )

high_rr_trades = df[df['RR'] > 10]
entry_time_count = high_rr_trades.groupby('Entry Time').size().reset_index(name='Count')
total_high_rr = len(high_rr_trades)
entry_time_count['Percentage'] = (entry_time_count['Count'] / total_high_rr) * 100
entry_time_count = entry_time_count.sort_values(by='Count', ascending=False)
print(entry_time_count)

if anyone wants an explanation dont mind to ask ill explain it for completely free lmfao no courses LOLL , i just didnt want to explain rn as idk whether even people are reading this so if one may be interesting i will teach what i learned without hiding a single thing so dw if u are curious lmk ( im not a professional myself also just learning and i like to help when i can thats all lol ) anyways that will give you the result that is shown on teh document, so yeah been really good and very efficent and really easy to do multiple analysis on the data i have and no mistakes unless i make a mistake in the code

so yeah i have some more stuff to finish for this swing model then im going to check with my bigger data set, which i might have to learn sql to do with since its even more easier than .csv for it ig

if i dont make sense , sorry if u have questions , ask.

anyways hope yall have a good week .

oh yeah also i entered the trades since wanted to check the swap fees , im gonna write the output on monday lets see
also if you want to learn about timezones this is a good start , babypips is almost older than me and a lot of people start there and its good ngl so here
https://www.babypips.com/learn/forex/forex-trading-sessions

bye again.

 

[PrimeCove]

Since you switched from day trading to swing trading, how do you handle the psychological side of holding trades for several days or even weeks?
For example, if the price moves against you for a few days, do you find it hard to stick to your plan?
How do you manage stress, patience, and uncertainty during this process...

 

[terunoz]

Since you switched from day trading to swing trading, how do you handle the psychological side of holding trades for several days or even weeks?
For example, if the price moves against you for a few days, do you find it hard to stick to your plan?
How do you manage stress, patience, and uncertainty during this process...

TL;DR : after i switched to swing trading emotions reduced as most times i let the model do its thing , sit back and wait. if price moves against me for few days i dont mind, SL is there to do its job either i get stopped out or ill be in a temporary draw down, i used to but not anymore with data to support my model entries
Stress i collect more data to trust my model and myself, so i wont be stressed when i see the trade going in red since i try to make myself believe that "just let it do its thing man, u have data to support ur model, just chill"
Patience : im currently doing other stuff with trading also which i cant disclose at the moment, so i try my best to set a trade with the necessary limits and forget about it and let it do its job
Uncertainty : data. i collect more trades that matches my model to make me trust my model and reduce uncertainty also doubt.

DO note : some of the stuff i say i havent mastered myself also so, im learning about it also either i say what im currently doing or planning to do

when I was day trading with the model I had, i had to take multiple trades daily which made me feel like im shit tbh because I had to enter every setup that matched my model and when the days are fully green i felt like i could trade on like this forever , these 2 main emotions made me realize this is not good at all and most of the times i had to stay infront of the computer for a long time and i had other stuff to do also

so swing trading came in, it actually came to my mind after i was just talking abt it with someone, i cant disclose everything but during the chat i was like man why dont i try swing trading since i already had a model for that also

so i tried swing trading ( i havent done swing trading in sometime and the few times i did it it wasnt a lot of experience to count ), then i felt more relaxed for some reason i mean it does make sense i take a trade i set the sl , then i acn just forget about it but there were some problems like i was not sure about durations of my trades , avearge movement that can happen so i still had to check my trades daily which was making me feel like i was in day trading again, thats why i started to collect data for my swing model only so i can get an idea so even if price moves against for me for few days i can ignore it since i have data to say to myself "yo, wait till this happens , or that happens or atleast till durations matches for specific trades" also currently i didnt trade much to talk about my emotions a lot as i was busy last few weeks collecting and analyzing data for that particular reason

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

as for the update, i woke up late today very late and i finished cleaning my desk and environment, thats all i just sat and open my pc for the whole day

 

[EImer Fudd]

Loving the commitment and looking forward to following your journey over time. Looks like your methods and setup are well thought through and put together

 

[terunoz]

Market Opened Today and it's been 7 days hence 1 week I mentioned I will have to calculate the swap for trades in FTMO before

1 week ( monday to next week monday ) cost me $276.92 so the minmum amount of pips i require to break even my trade if i hold it for 7 days is 70 pips, and if we make 100 pips or more my profit will be $4 per pip, 100 pips is $400 profit so 276.92 swap will leave me with $123.08 which is not good tbh

Now 1 Week Swap cost - $276.92
1 Month - $1186.80
3 Months - $3560.40
6 months - $7120.80

everytime the no of days increase the amount of pips required to break even a trade increase which is ok but the swap charge is kind of high but am i sure with this calculation ? no. not really so what i will do is using a trial acc of FTMO i will enter a trade and calculate the swap charge and with a proper example and proper result i can do the other calculations properly as i like to do stuf practically and learn

I took 4 Trades, 2x 1 Lot Trades both Buy and Short and 2x 0.1 Lot Trades both Buy and Short

Trades were entered on 2025 March 3rd, Today is 2025 March 10th = 7 days
1 Lot Trade Swap Buy - 46.52 USD - This Trade is not in Profit
1 Lot Trade Swap Sell - -107.52 USD - This Trade is in Profit
0.1 Lot Trade Swap Buy - 4.65 USD - This Trade is not in Profit
0.1 Lot Trade Swap Sell - -10.75 USD - This Trade is in Profit

So If I do my calculations

To Buy 1 Lot and hold for 1 Day has costed me 6.65 USD so for 5 Trading Days from Monday to Friday the total swap cost was +46.52
To Sell 1 Lot and hold for 1 Day has costed me 15.36 USD so for 5 Trading Days from Monday to Friday the total swap cost was -107.52

Nice.

So if I held a trade for max 1 Month that will be most of the times 20 - 22 days , swap calculated will be ;
For 20 Days - Buy = 133.00 USD
Sell = -307.20 USD

Damn so positive swap exists, which is really good if we holding for more than 1 month but wait so if positive swap exists nvm

anyways so yeah swap is good, didnt see anything in the morning today so gonna wait
on the other hand I have started analyzing the data for my bigger dataset and used heatmaps to like find most likely / probable days for example here is a look how my results doc look like

Heatmap and Values for Performance of Individual Setups ( Models ) by Month



yeah so i made heatmaps like this for my other data also other than this, i have to finish my results document, so yeah

a new week, new opportunities, good luck to everyone and have a nice and successful week for all BHW Members

 

[terunoz]

yeah sums up today.