sigh. here we go again. sure btc can go down to $100 or $3000 or even to $0. nobody denies it. but the reason why I remain bullish on cryptocurrencies is simply because blockchain adoption is real. it's not just bubble out of thin air that will crash and won't go back up. yes, it can crash, absolutely...but it doesnt make sense if it crash and it doesn't go back. I'm not saying about specific coin here (especially BTC) but blockchain adoption should drive the price up. retail investors might be losing interest in this, i'm not going to deny it, and yes the bubble has bursted. but bursted bubble doesnt mean it's simply gone. it might need years to go back up (just like when BTC lost its value from $1K to $2xx, it needed years to bounce back) but i remain confidence crypto is not over yet.
both Ripple and Stellar have done tremendous jobs in lobbying bankers to try their blockchain services and I'm not seeing any backward progress from here. SWIFT has failed tremendously in providing fast transfer. it's slow and it's expensive. this is where blockchain will finally be adopted.
here, i'm just going to drop a link:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Stellar/comments/86ftjh/ama_with_the_head_of_ibm_blockchain_jesse_lund/
This is coming straight from IBM's Jesse Lund. he confirmed many central banks are interested in using IBM service and IBM is teaming up with Stellar. and no, they are not just interested in IBM's hyper ledger service. Jesse Lund confirmed Stellar blockchain will be used and will play very crucial role. someone on reddit also asked Jesse Lund about the role of XLM in case banks chose to create their own tokenized fiat and he said lumens here will still play its role because you need Lumens to "gas" each transaction. he even said "very close" when someone asked him when we can see tokenized fiat from central banks on blockchain. Once again, this is vice president of IBM blockchain, not a hyped crypto expert from youtube.
as for Ripple, their main target in the end is still to use XRP in xRapid to power the banking transactions even though at the moment they get huge critics because their teamwork with banks almost always involve xCurrent (which is not powered by XRP)
IOTA also has been making progress.
https://www.coindesk.com/city-of-taipei-confirms-its-testing-iota-blockchain-for-id/
All of these blockchain adoptions are real. these stories are not just coming out of bubble thin air. there are cryptocurrencies that will survive the crash even though of course for now they are going to be dragged down by bitcoin considering most liquidity comes from bitcoin (and rare to see fiat/altcoin get decent liquidity consistently)
what im trying to say here: im not going to deny that bitcoin can keep going down. and my advice to all investors is that you shouldn't put money you can't afford to lose. BUT to deny that cryptocurrencies are just bubble and will die sooner or later is very naive. Look at all the links I gave you above. blockchain adoption is not fake. it's not just 'hyped'. it's real.
all these banks, all these companies, all these regulators they need time before they can massively adopt certain distributed ledger technology. but when the time comes, some cryptos will survive, while most will fail. but it will come. 6 months ago no central bank ever held a talk with IBM blockchain. but now they do. it's not going anywhere. French finance minister even reversed his position on cryptocurrencies.
there's local news from my country where 5 biggest banks there are testing IBM service and my local newspaper also admitted the blockchain service which they test is indeed coming from stellar. here's the link for you:
http://www.viva.co.id/digital/985714-keren-5-bank-besar-di-indonesia-bakal-terapkan-blockchain
it's in my language so use google translate. you will see how these 5 huge banks in my country confirmed they are having talks with IBM AND indeed it's stellar blockchain which they are teaming up with
and despite my country is still "third world" but makes no mistake. our e-commerce industry is huge. an uber competitor there (Go-Jek) is valued at more than $1 billion USD even though this same service has no existence elsewhere. A local amazon there (tokopedia) is also valued way above $1billion USD. There are also more cryptocurrency traders there as compared to forex traders and some news predicted they will soon surpass stock trading industry:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...investors-set-to-outnumber-stock-participants
so yeah, all these blockchain adoptions by banks are not going anywhere. I have done my research. Yes, crypto valuation against fiat can keep going down, but sooner or later it will go back up, because there are some cryptocurrency foundations who take this business very seriously and they are making huge progress. For now they are Ripple, Stellar, and IOTA. VeChain's influence for real-world adoption is remain to be seen. This is why I'm optimistic.
*PS: im saying "there" because currently I do not live in my home country. I'm an expat abroad
TL;DR - if you hate my wall of text, just open all the links. they all coming from different sources in case you accuse me for having bias. Read each of the link properly and make your own conclusion. these blockchain adoption stories are not fake. that's all im saying. have faith in long run. short term...i dont know...we might keep going down, but this is not over.