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How Accurate are Ahrefs Estimates?

Discussion in 'Black Hat SEO' started by bobnewbie, Jan 25, 2017.

  1. bobnewbie

    bobnewbie Newbie

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    I was wondering if anyone had an idea of how accurate the ahrefs ranking difficulty estimates are. On my main keyword, ahrefs suggests it should only take 6 links to get to number 1 on this keyword (from 100+ currently). For what it's worth, these should be low-competition keywords.

    Given that the packages on the marketplace offer 100+ links for $50, this seems really quite low to me...


    Apologies if I've put this in the wrong place - I'm new to the forums!
     
  2. Lunaaa

    Lunaaa Elite Member

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    Well it depends on the links. Anybody can get backlinks using blog comments.

    If might take 30 pbns to rank something but only 2 links from huffington instead. So different links have different powers. But 100 links for $50 probably isn't good
     
    Last edited: Jan 25, 2017
  3. Lunaaa

    Lunaaa Elite Member

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    And always evaluate the keyword manually your self
     
  4. bobnewbie

    bobnewbie Newbie

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    So higher quality links are super useful then. That makes total sense to me. much appreciated!
     
  5. Pinktoe

    Pinktoe Regular Member

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    Things are not that straight forward

    Ahrefs KW difficulty only takes into account of the quantity of links each page in the top 10 has. Not the quality.

    It also doesn't take into account of how strong the domains are. A page full of amazon links etc might have 0 kw difficulty.

    Such metrics are only useful for filtering out the KW's that are really difficult.

    Looking at the competitor's links, and building better links, while also mimicking their average anchor ratios is the best bet.

    You get what you pay for. I suggest building your own pbn. There are some services that can help you with that. I get my domains through @Nargil 's domains and @luc1f3r.n008 saves me countless hours through heping me set up the websites for $10 each
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 2
  6. bobnewbie

    bobnewbie Newbie

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    Yeah... the number 1 and 2 links are both highly relevant .gov domains. Everything below that seems to be non-optimized, though (and from no-name companies). For what it's worth, this is for enterprise software - so perhaps a little different from what most people on here work with.

    Thanks Pinktoe!
     
    Last edited: Jan 25, 2017
  7. Nargil

    Nargil Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

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  8. mbreezy

    mbreezy Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

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    I'm a big Ahrefs fan but I honestly don't think it is accurate at all.

    All links are not created equal. Instead of looking at link count, focus on the DR and cross check the competitors on-page/content.
     
  9. jacker818

    jacker818 Power Member

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    No software will ever be accurate.
     
  10. kr200

    kr200 Junior Member

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    Anyone knows how to check avg Search volume in keyword planner nowadays because it shows loke 1k-10k or something
     
  11. tiiberius

    tiiberius Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

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    I use Ahrefs daily and consider it a great backlink analysis tool, however, when it comes to the competition analysis isn't not very accurate.

    Any other tool as well for that matter.

    I always check the competition manually using various back-linking tools and eyes for on-page.
     
  12. terrycody

    terrycody Elite Member

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    Use ahrefs.com to get a rough idea, then check the top 10 results by your hand, and decide.
     
  13. bobnewbie

    bobnewbie Newbie

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    Cheers guys! I'll make sure to check everything manually. I appreciate the guidance!
     
  14. Fus3d

    Fus3d Registered Member

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    As above ahrefs gives some guidance but isn't accurate, I also do a free check on kwfinder and of course the manual browse
     
  15. jon_xx_x

    jon_xx_x Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

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    Exactly. All of these services should be used as rough guides and you should investigate sites individually to really see what the competition is like.
    I think ahrefs is best of the bunch but it is flawed. You can do blog comments, article directories, etc and get good metrics. They also heavily favor blogpsot for some reason, which is annoying.