Wilson Grant Fisk
Elite Member
- Nov 10, 2012
- 15,677
- 46,846
You're implying that gold is grossly overvalued - why? The price of gold is, and has been, fairly stable, only increasing in price ~7.5% in the last 12 months. Compare that to BTC's meteoric rise over the last 12 months. That, correlated with the massive increase in coverage and media attention BTC is receiving, and major FOMO encouraging everyone and their mother to invest something into BTC, would suggest that it could be in a hype bubble.So why isn't gold a bubble then?
You don't seem to understand what a bubble is.You're implying that gold is grossly overvalued - why? The price of gold is, and has been, fairly stable, only increasing in price ~7.5% in the last 12 months. Compare that to BTC's meteoric rise over the last 12 months. That, correlated with the massive increase in coverage and media attention BTC is receiving, and major FOMO encouraging everyone and their mother to invest something into BTC, would suggest that it could be in a hype bubble.
You don't seem to understand what a bubble is.
The idea is that an asset is valued more than its intrinsic value (What it's actually worth)
The only thing that makes gold worth anything is because people say it is. Really, it's actually inferior to Silver.
Some people say gold is valuable because it makes jewellery, computer components etc. but in reality, those items are expensive because they contain gold.
The only reason it ever became a currency was because it doesn't corrode that much. Exactly like Bitcoin, in a sense.
"Here is the flaw with Jamie Dimon's "Tulip Mania" analogy: Tulips are perishable and must be repurchased, over and over, to maintain a presence. Obviously, inflated prices cannot be sustained. Bitcoin is not perishable, and needs to purchased only once. There can be no comparison"
"Gold is laughable compared to cryptocurrencies. How do you frationalize gold? How do you ship it? It's physical so how do you safely store it. It was good for people 3,000 years ago. Today it is inherently worthless. Soon it will drop in value as crypto currencies climb."
You enjoy poking people.
Speculation? Please show me where I speculated.Speculation is fine my friend, just don't go "investing" your next month's rent, etc.
Speculation? Please show me where I speculated.
My point is, every "reason" people have for likening Bitcoin to a bubble, also applies to a wide range of successful companies/ assets.
Amazon has a massive market cap of $563.27B, but a http://stocks.fundamentalfinance.com/s_peratios.php of 295.05. Their price graph is almost an (albeit slower) exact match to that of Bitcoin's.
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Why isn't Amazon's stock in a bubble?
My point is, if you take your reasoning for disliking Bitcoin and look at other financial opportunities, almost all of them will show signs of a bubble.
You're implying that gold is grossly overvalued - why? The price of gold is, and has been, fairly stable, only increasing in price ~7.5% in the last 12 months. Compare that to BTC's meteoric rise over the last 12 months. That, correlated with the massive increase in coverage and media attention BTC is receiving, and major FOMO encouraging everyone and their mother to invest something into BTC, would suggest that it could be in a hype bubble.
You can tell Bitcoin is a bubble, because like with all bubbles you have clueless morons jumping all over it, thinking they are going to be the next big thing.
I treat BTC and other cryptos the same way I treat the cash in my pocket when I go to Vegas. If I'm not willing to lose it all, I don't bet.
Because people feel confident that Amazon is going to grow in revenue. The reason why their P/E numbers are so high is because they are constantly reinvesting profit back into their company.Why isn't Amazon's stock in a bubble?
Me too.I may talk shit about it, but it’s not going anywhere any time soon like Vegas tokens the value may deflate. But, people are never going to stop using it for shady activities.I treat BTC and other cryptos the same way I treat the cash in my pocket when I go to Vegas. If I'm not willing to lose it all, I don't bet.