I am just lolling all over the place right now.. Backlinks don't count? HAHAHAHHAHA OMFG!
Seriously, even if you really honestly have been in SEO for a long time, it does not matter. Google changes shit up all the time. With their big changes, you basically have to learn to crawl again. While having experience helps you easily find the changes faster and how to overcome them, their update forced you to learn a new game.
I agree with the guy who posted this:
First of all your examples are deeply flawed. It doesn't matter the # of "competitors" (usually 99.9% of them are not really competitors, just webpages that happen to have the words in the keyword somewhere on the page) a keyword has, the only thing that matters when judging competition is the sites that are consciously trying to rank for the keyword on page 1.
A keyword that shows 40,000,000 results that no one is trying to rank for will be MUCH easier to rank for than a keyword with 100,000 results that a score of websites are competing for.
That is absolutely true. It isn't how many results you get for that keyword phrase, it is how many of them are actually competing for it specifically. Also domain name has a factor. Such as the guy who owns makemoneyonline.com. He is sitting on page 5 because he is a complete dumbass and has no idea what he is doing. He has a straight VIP pass to the #1 position. While yes, he would still have to do SEO to keep himself there, but his job is way easier than anyone elses because he owns the domain. It doesn't get anymore relevant than makemoneyonline.com when someone searches: make money online.
To the OP: Rank for keywords that actually get searched and people are actually trying to compete for.
Go into the poker niche, some long tail poker keywords that are popular. I saw one for instance that got searched A LOT!!! When typing it into google it had like 100,000 results only. Most would be like oh wow, 100k results thats easy. That is not the case. The competition on the first page was tight as hell! Out of those 100k prolly half of them are trying to rank for that same damn keyword... damn near impossible.
It has NOTHING to do with the number of results found. It has everything to do with what I quoted above, how many people are actually targeting that specific keyword. As I call it, "how tight the competition is on the first page".
If your research determines it can be ranked for, you get there by backlinks. Good backlinks, high PR backlinks, related backlinks, Anchor text backlinks, traffic, and on site SEO.
So to whoever thinks backlinks don't matter, you are a flat out retard. I don't care how long you have been in SEO.