[Keyword Research] Looking Beyond Search Volume

Do you have a minimum monthly searches when doing keyword research?

  • Yes

    Votes: 55 82.1%
  • No

    Votes: 12 17.9%

  • Total voters
    67

Holzr

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I see a lot of people talking about search volume, asking what is the lowest monthly search volume they should go after etc....

However, it's important to look past the monthly search volume and instead focus on monthly revenue potential.

What do I mean?

Work out how much money a keyword could bring you at position 1 on the SERP.

How can we do this?

Here's the calculation (explanation below) in full.

Monthly Search Volume * 0.3 * 0.4 * 0.05 * (Product Price * Commision rate, e.g. $100 x 6% = 100 x 0.06 = $6)

  • Monthly Search Volume: The figure is shown on your prefered keyword research tool
  • * 0.3 * 0.4 * 0.05: 30% CTR for position 1, 40% CTR to Amazon, 5% Conversion rate
  • Product Price * Commission rate: This is the commission ($) you'll earn for every sale
Note: These are very rough calculations and assumptions. In fact, I consider them to be conservative. Why?

Ranking number one will usually result in you ranking for a lot of keywords. In which case, monthly search volume is going to be considerably higher. In fact, for the keyword, I use below (best juicer) the top ranking page ranks for 2,316 keywords which bring in ~ 8,199 traffic. In which case would give a value of the page to $737.91 (compared to $378 from the calculations in the example below).

The CTR will depend on how well you've optimized your content.

The conversion rate will depend on your content quality, product recommendation, cost of the product, product reviews, product type (is it an essential product, are their alternatives, can you put off buying it etc.

Lastly, you have no idea what items people will purchase. Sometimes they'll buy something completely irrelevant to what your promoting, other times they'll buy your product and perhaps accessories and heaps more which will increase your $ earnt.

Here is the calculation in a shorter form

Monthly Search Volume * 0.006 * (Product Price * Commision rate)

Example

Let's say I'm targeting the keyword Best Juicer (unless you have a high budget and experience in SEO I don't recommend you target this keyword as it's going to be competitive). The term, according to Ahrefs (my prefered keyword research tool), gets searched 14,000 times a month.

I'm going to give it a $100 product price to make things quick and easy to work out. Juicers are in the Kitchen department which gives us a 4.5% commission rate, giving us $4.50 every time somebody purchases the juicer through our link.

Our estimated monthly revenue is as follows:

14,000 * 0.006 * $4.50 = $378

Now, let's say you're in the lead gen. game. you want to sell DUI leads for $50 a lead targeting the term Miami DUI Lawyer which gets 1,300 monthly searches. We can calculate the value of ranking number one for this keyword...

I'm going to assume 1/5 visits turns into a qualified lead. (0.2 or 20%)

1,300 * 0.3 * 0.2 * 50 = $3,900

Now, again I don't suggest targeting the above keyword unless you have a seriously big budget and are a master of SEO. There's a strong correlation between keyword value and competition in the SEO game.

Perhaps you ranked for Nashville DUI lawyer with only 150 monthly searches. Most people would likely filter this out automatically through their chosen tool or just ignore it because of the low volume. How much could this keyword bring in?

150 * 0.3 * 0.2 * 50 = $450

Not bad for a term with only 150 monthly searches...

Conclusion

I have to admit I used to set filters on minimum search volume. However, nowadays I'll usually set it to 10 and manually exclude one I don't feel will bring in sufficient revenue to be worth my time.

Calculating the revenue potential of keywords will help you gain an edge over most marketers as you'll be able to find and go after profitable keywords that might be overlooked by others who are filtering based on monthly searches.

Say you have a product that sells for $1,000 and you'll make $50 from each sale you'll earn the following per month:

  • 50 monthly searches: $15
  • 250 monthly searches: $75
  • 500 monthly searches: $150
  • 1,000 monthly searches: $300

If you rank number one for a product which will bring you $0.45 in commission you're going to need a lot of sales to make any decent money. 10,000 monthly searches are only going to net you $27 a month. Not bad if you can scale to having 100 of these articles but chances are you'll spend a lot of money trying to get there and your ROI will be terrible.
 
Great piece.

I do wonder how people choose and filter keywords.

Predominately I just see people going for the lowest volume they can find with the easiest competition. But, is it really worth the effort.

I think my lowest difficulty search word volume is around 10k.

I figured if I am going to put some effort in, may as well make it worth my while!
 
Great share OP.

I see you has great knowledge on keyword research. Most important skill on SEO, unfortunately weakest point for many.

Any recommended keyword research guide for affiliate marketing?
 
@Leith
What the external affiliates do you recommend to make good revenue thanks in advance

What I mean is instead of using Amazon, look for other affiliates in your industry for the product(s) you’re promoting. This won’t be possible with all niches, but it’s worth looking into.

You can look around for other brands in your industry that sell the same/similar products and join their affiliate program.

For example, I have sites in the health niche. If I remember correctly, Amazon gives you 7% for health products. Instead of promoting products on Amazon, I reached out to private brands and explained what my business is and the potential of revenue that can be generated. Most of the times they agree and I’m able to get 15%.

Once you do enough volume of sales, you can renegotiate your commission with the brands you’re working with - and again, most of the times they will agree to a reasonable increase based on sales (for example, 25%). So here’s what it looks like if you were doing 25 sales daily on an average product priced at $50.

On Amazon: $2.6k/month
Working with brands directly: $5.6k/month - $9.3k/month

Now picture the above but with 10 different products, across multiple sites and niches. It adds up very nicely.

With this being said, Amazon is still pretty neat if you can do volume.. but the last few months I’ve been getting better results by only targeting higher commission affiliate programs.
 
Great share OP.

I see you has great knowledge on keyword research. Most important skill on SEO, unfortunately weakest point for many.

Any recommended keyword research guide for affiliate marketing?

Here are a few ones. TBH I've not really kept up to date with guides so don't have any on the top of my mind. I'm tempted to write a guide myself if I ever get the time. There's a lot to know and a lot of methods to generate keywords and most importantly check competition.

Search intent is also extremely important nowadays and in the future now we have RankBrain.

I agree, keyword research is THE most important skill in SEO.

https://www.blackhatworld.com/seo/hackos-2018-keyword-research-manifesto.1000213/

https://www.blackhatworld.com/seo/the-beginners-guide-to-free-keyword-research.1067718/

https://www.blackhatworld.com/seo/k...-of-a-great-amazon-affiliate-keyword.1051300/

https://ahrefs.com/blog/keyword-research/

https://backlinko.com/keyword-research

https://detailed.com/advanced-keyword-research/

Good share. Amazon commissions suck though, lol. I've switched to external affiliates and have been able to x10 and even x20 earnings overnight.


Think you forgot to add in the CTR multiplier (0.3/0.4)?

The 0.006 is shorthand for SERP CTR, CTR to Amazon and then Amazon Conversion.

What I mean is instead of using Amazon, look for other affiliates in your industry for the product(s) you’re promoting. This won’t be possible with all niches, but it’s worth looking into.

You can look around for other brands in your industry that sell the same/similar products and join their affiliate program.

For example, I have sites in the health niche. If I remember correctly, Amazon gives you 7% for health products. Instead of promoting products on Amazon, I reached out to private brands and explained what my business is and the potential of revenue that can be generated. Most of the times they agree and I’m able to get 15%.

Once you do enough volume of sales, you can renegotiate your commission with the brands you’re working with - and again, most of the times they will agree to a reasonable increase based on sales (for example, 25%). So here’s what it looks like if you were doing 25 sales daily on an average product priced at $50.

On Amazon: $2.6k/month
Working with brands directly: $5.6k/month - $9.3k/month

Now picture the above but with 10 different products, across multiple sites and niches. It adds up very nicely.

With this being said, Amazon is still pretty neat if you can do volume.. but the last few months I’ve been getting better results by only targeting higher commission affiliate programs.

This is soooooo true. It frustrates me so much when people are complaining about Amazon and affiliate rates. There's so much potential out there with other networks or working directly. In addition, Amazon is really not suited for many niches. They don't stock enough products and more niche networks will convert much higher. I can get up to 12% on other networks vs 4.5%~ on Amazon.

@fun maker Empire Flippers have a good article here for other networks.
 
First thanks for the share.


The last part of the OP, the calculation in the conclusion got me confused :

monthly search * 0.3 * 0.2 * commission = revenue

  • 50 * 0.3 * 0.2 * 50 = $ 150

However you got $ 15:
  • 50 monthly searches: $15

I am missing something ?
 
According to you my 3.6k m/s looks like shit.
Product price: around $66.
Commission: 4.5%
Program: amazon affiliate
 
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