Betting journey

INVINCIBLETA

INVINCIBLETA

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So i started working on a strategy about 4months ago and im currently playing it showing great results so far. But rn i have 1k € balance cause i had to withdraw 500€ for a trip im taking as overhead money.

My question is rn im doing 200€ bet sizes with a total winrate of 66% and a 33% losses at a average of 2.1 odds. Numbers are amazing but 200€ is quite risky and i had a bit of a loosing streak of hitting only 5/11 bets. You reccon i should lower bet size to 100€ to account for being able to place 10 bets at the same time and minimize chance of loosing it all?

The downside to this is ofc growing slower. I also did some statistics and on average i do about 38€ profit per bet. This isnt totally accurate as most of the bets are on 100€ and only the last 15 ish bets are on 200€.

Hope to have some great civil discussion below mby ill start doing weekly updates of my progress if motivation is there.
 
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probably you are playing value bets. The bad with you it's that you dont have a nice bankroll managment. So if you make a 0/5 streak you ll become broke. try using 1-2% of your bankroll to bets.
 
Yes its some form of valuebets. Problem is i wanna grow fast thats why i do the high bankroll. Plan is to do 1-2% later on. But mby i should tone it down to 50-100€ instead.
 
vmslcz said:
probably you are playing value bets. The bad with you it's that you dont have a nice bankroll managment. So if you make a 0/5 streak you ll become broke. try using 1-2% of your bankroll to bets.
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Like last night i was staying up to catch mls matches and some other leagues and i only got 1 bet placed and it lost depreved of sleep and minus 200€. The problem by doing 10-20€ bets would be that the hourly wage would be terrible by the amount of work i do collecting data and placing bets.
 
Doing the math based on my stats it suggests 46,9% of bankroll which sounds insane 3 losses and i have nothing
 
vmslcz said:
yeah man try playing 10-20 per bet to see what you are doing
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Yeah i have record of 90 bets placed avering out the odds. So im quite certain about my win percentage and average odds
 
lfgPeople said:
unless you're arbing, have access to data sets bookies don't , quanting the exchanges or trading order flow I doubt you have an edge
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Yeah i see i use multiple dataset and has used probably 300 hours refining and tuning my model.
 
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