1. This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn More.

And Now Facebook Is Going Downhill...

Discussion in 'BlackHat Lounge' started by bobbylove321, Aug 20, 2010.

  1. bobbylove321

    bobbylove321 BANNED BANNED

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2008
    Messages:
    1,987
    Likes Received:
    2,198
    A few years ago when myspace got really into forced advertising and increased their annoying spam everywhere, I said that it's going to go downhill from here on, and if you look at quantcast, you will see that they went from over 63 million to less than 46 million within the past year. This is about a 27% loss in users within 12 months.

    Now facebook is going to go down that same road because of 2 things:

    1)they got caught selling peoples' data to 3rd party companies, and auto-opted your info to companies without your knowledge

    2)they have now implemented a no friend add feature, which basically means that you can't add people who are not in your network or your friends' networks due to "spam control".

    I believe that this will lead to their downfall because now users aren't going to be able to add others and network, so once another big social networking company comes out, then facebook will take the same downward nose dive that myspace took.

    Within the next 5 years, myspace most likely will have less than 5 million users, and facebook will most likely have less than 75 million users (they currently have about 400 million).

    These big companies just simply never learn, and their ultimate downfall is always hunger for more profits at the users experience.
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 4
    Last edited: Aug 20, 2010
  2. lickmeloose

    lickmeloose Registered Member

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2010
    Messages:
    82
    Likes Received:
    13
    Facebook just passed the 500,000,000 mark and no, they are not stopping with growth.
     
  3. lostgringos

    lostgringos Senior Member

    Joined:
    Dec 5, 2008
    Messages:
    837
    Likes Received:
    266
    Occupation:
    Online Reputation Manager
    Location:
    Dumaguete City, Philippines
    MySpace is Zynga...Zynga crap is all over the place...It is becoming a gaming site...
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 1
  4. sunshyne

    sunshyne Regular Member

    Joined:
    Jun 17, 2010
    Messages:
    359
    Likes Received:
    54
    Location:
    localhost
    then what would it take for 2-3 people to get together and start another socialmedia outlet without the restrictions? ;)

    I smell a JV! lol
     
  5. bobbylove321

    bobbylove321 BANNED BANNED

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2008
    Messages:
    1,987
    Likes Received:
    2,198
    This is what people thought about myspace.

    It was the "Fastest Growing" site, and no one thought their growth would stop, or that another website would take over the market.
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 3
  6. bobbylove321

    bobbylove321 BANNED BANNED

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2008
    Messages:
    1,987
    Likes Received:
    2,198
    You are assuming that no 3rd company will ever come out and dominate the market.

    This has happened numerous times in many niche markets.

    Myspace users went to Facebook to escape the spam and advertisements, and now Facebook users are getting annoyed with them trying to steal their info and selling it (there is an actual court case going on about it).

    With the new "No Friend Add" feature they've added for people outside of your network, this will lead to their downfall because they can no longer grow as much as they have.

    It's all downhill from here.
     
    Last edited: Aug 20, 2010
  7. izm

    izm Regular Member

    Joined:
    Feb 7, 2008
    Messages:
    474
    Likes Received:
    230
    yep yep yep. the cycle of life, you have to embrace it.
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 2
  8. gin.of.da.game

    gin.of.da.game Newbie

    Joined:
    May 21, 2009
    Messages:
    40
    Likes Received:
    31
    it had to happen at some point of time. It happened with myspace, orkut and now facebook. Inevitable !!
     
  9. nme

    nme Junior Member

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2008
    Messages:
    124
    Likes Received:
    36
    It will be interesting to see what affect the Facebook movie has. Zuckerjew calling users idiots to trust him and what have you.

    They'll change the friend thing back in a bit, that's a suicidal experiment.

    They'll be top doggy as long as there's no alternative and the only alternative will come from Google or MS.

    The 500m is ACCOUNTS not users. 400m of them were created by guys here.
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 3
  10. annihilation

    annihilation Newbie

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2008
    Messages:
    6
    Likes Received:
    0
    Another case of too big to fail?
     
  11. izm

    izm Regular Member

    Joined:
    Feb 7, 2008
    Messages:
    474
    Likes Received:
    230
    no such thing as too big to fail unless you a bank or car maker then you can always go ask gov't for help.
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 2
  12. khirad

    khirad BANNED BANNED

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2009
    Messages:
    643
    Likes Received:
    181
    I totally agree with what you said
    And Growth of Next Thing Will be Faster than this FB

    Friendster had this policy of not allowing ppl to add those whom they dont know and they paid for it now its facebook turn
     
  13. anti_dote

    anti_dote Power Member

    Joined:
    Dec 20, 2009
    Messages:
    658
    Likes Received:
    153
    Occupation:
    BlackHat IM
    Location:
    Under Your Bed
    Although i would least be bothered about Facebook's Future success or failure but one thing is certain with this new feature" You can only add friends you know personally" will going to Ruin them as i do not do any Facebook Marketing but yet have experienced this feature so am pretty sure and i wish that Google should step in to Social Networking thing not like "ORKUT" but something that can show this Facebook what Big G is all about so Facebook can learn this the hard Way.
     
  14. mergethegreat

    mergethegreat Junior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2009
    Messages:
    133
    Likes Received:
    46
    Yea there gonna crash sooner or late. It happens in every market.
     
  15. khirad

    khirad BANNED BANNED

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2009
    Messages:
    643
    Likes Received:
    181
    And Facebook dont have 500 Million Users 70 % of them are Accounts
    Even Users have more than one account

    Orkut is still popular in India And Brazil but if Google will fail to compete facebook someone else will

    Another network Which is gaining strength is VK though most of Russians are there but they are gaining numbers
     
  16. cookiejar

    cookiejar Regular Member

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2008
    Messages:
    400
    Likes Received:
    2,084
    Occupation:
    SeNIor CoOKIe Di$TRibuter
    Location:
    YoUR IP AddRESS
    Google ME is going to be the next social media fad, rather it stinks or not. The fact that it will be new and offers facebook users an alternative it will be a force to reckon with and will make its move onto the block of social media kingdom, which currently is being monopolized by facebook.
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 2
  17. peppermynt

    peppermynt Newbie

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2010
    Messages:
    5
    Likes Received:
    2
    Diaspora will be the new facebook. They're going to have VOIP
     
  18. Millygirl

    Millygirl Regular Member

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2009
    Messages:
    323
    Likes Received:
    207
    Occupation:
    Job? What's that?
    Location:
    Planet Earth :P
    I do not believe those stats are accurate.

    That 500,000,000 mark probably includes people with multiple accounts and accounts that remains inactive due to their owners leaving Facebook or forgetting their password/email address use to create the account.
     
  19. Sprouts

    Sprouts Regular Member

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2010
    Messages:
    461
    Likes Received:
    324
    Its 0.5b active users.
    Active meaning used their account within the last 30 days.

    Also I agree with bobby. FB is for users to connect and socialise. Look how dead the news feeds are even on your personal account.

    A 2008 100 friend news feed used to look like a 500 friend news feed nowadays...
     
  20. greentitanium

    greentitanium Senior Member

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2010
    Messages:
    1,141
    Likes Received:
    213
    Occupation:
    Prob the same as yours
    Location:
    Great Lakes & RTP
    I think G**gle is the only one who has a shot to do it in the next 5 - 10 years.
    Look at how fast Twitter burned out.
    I think to many people are in it to deep.
    Look at the crap they have pulled and no one left.

    the only thing that makes me think different is the fact that
    people do like the newest thing out. but facebook has grandma and grandpas!