My BTC Short-Term Price Path Prediction

Price went up late Saturday at $95700 as predicted and now has started dropping setting up the coming pump.

Let's see.

About $94k now.

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We have now hit a lower low at $93300 from the previous one so the "goal" of taking out some stop orders has at least been partially achieved. However I see this still maybe going a bit lower before a serious bump, maybe at $92500.

Let's see.

However had you taken a long and a short trade as described in my OP post you'd have 2 winners so far, the total predicted move is 3-4% win.

The big winner though will be the bump if it comes on Monday or Tuesday.

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As I commented, this last days of 2024 are meeh...looking forward to see how it will perform in the first days of 2025, in two or three weeks I guess it will be much better
 
Price dropped a bit lower than I anticipated to $91500.

The big move I expect though has started as shown by the big candle on the 4hr chart. The latest I anticipate the move up to $101500 - $103000 level is Tuesday afternoon NYSE exchange session, meaning up to 24 hours from now. After that, volume will probably drop significantly and through to the New Year's holiday and there will not be much price movement.

To that level we have 3 major obstacles, $94500, $96500 and $98500 where there is significant prior trading activity and the move up may be rejected. I still expect though to blast through all those levels in the next 24 hours.

Time will tell.

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We currently stand circa $94400.

Based on my understanding of the current pricing action I expect the following price path in the next 2 to 4 days (blue arrow).

View attachment 407180

Saturdays normally price does not move so tomorrow Sunday I expect a small ascend towards the $95500 level where there has been lot of trading volume in the last days.

I expect price to be rejected at that level and drop lower to $93000 and maybe $92500. I expect this move because there will be liquidity standing below the latest $93500 low and it will gravitate there to take out the buy-stop orders residing there.

This is also usually the fake move to the opposite direction that happens before a big pump. That big pump I expect it to happen on Monday or Tuesday with a target of $101750 to $103500.
So far your prediction seems to be fairly accurate, it touched a bit lower than 93K past few days and seems to be going in an upward momentum.
 
So far your prediction seems to be fairly accurate, it touched a bit lower than 93K past few days and seems to be going in an upward momentum.

Yup, it's on the right path, I just expected this a bit earlier but it takes longer because it consolidates around levels with high trading volume.
 
Really ? If you are right, i’ll be among the top 1000 richest men on the world then
It was a joke, and the year had already ended.
Additionally, BTC at $5M would say more about the weakening of the Dollar than about the strength of BTC.
 
The path I predicted came through almost exactly as outlined on my initial post, albeit one week later. I expected the final bump to be more of a blast through but it turned out it was a slow ascent consolidating around key price levels.

That is an easy 5 to 10% return depending on where and how you entered a position on that price path at only 1x leverage. If we assume you took a risky trade at 5x leverage your return would have been 25 to 50% of your initial capital.

You are welcome.

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