If anyone is interested in some trading insight

Junkyardog82

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I feel like a carriage with no wheels on this great site, not being able to contribute to anything IM or Seo. But if i can be of service rite now to trading related knowledge, dont hesitate. I've been trading for over 5 years now mainly stocks/options and forex.

Im mainly a technical trader with higher time horizons. My experience has been day trading is a suckers game making the brokers money, unless you're dealing with massive orders. They will bleed you slowly.

You wanna follow the big/smart money, think of them like whales. They are not nimble and their moves are obvious because their order sizes are massive.
The best analogy is an elephant trying to get in a kiddy pool without being noticed, which segways to my next point.

Fundanental traders are infact trading latent info versus technical traders. Because when you open the charts you can see the areas where there is supply and demand. Kind hard to see it through P/E ratios. And dont get me fired up about those talking heads.
The weather stations compete with those financial muppets.

Nobody has a crystal ball, but having strategy increases your probabilities of being on the rite side. Trading is not intuitive, because you can be losing 60% of your trades and still profit.

I'll finish off by saying the more knowlegeable you aquire the less shat/tools you need. Today trading for me consists of a generic chart platform which is pretty much free ( Tradingview.com), FinViz.com to scan the market for good setups. And i use CIBC investors edge as my options broker.

The gravy which nobody mentions is setting up your charts on tradingview.com on the 3Month, 6Month Japanese Candlesticks. Thats where you get see everything from the clouds and know whats going on down below. No other platform that i know has it ,unless Think or Swim does. That option is a paid annual subscription, but you can run a free 1month trial and just keep switching emails.

I hope im not out of context here, since this seemed the most fitting place. Sorry for the long rant, but i leave at that for now. Any questions feel free to ask.
 
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I ve been out of the game for a while. Ended up creating a brokerage that I will promote later. I might be prepared to start trading egain soon .
 
Being the broker is the rite side of the bet. Sort of like the store who sold shovels to the gold miners. From what i heard there are multiple tiers of being a broker, until you get to the market.

How much of a process is it to open? Is it Forex.
 
I feel like a carriage with no wheels on this great site, not being able to contribute to anything IM or Seo. But if i can be of service rite now to trading related knowledge, dont hesitate. I've been trading for over 5 years now mainly stocks/options and forex.

Im mainly a technical trader with higher time horizons. My experience has been day trading is a suckers game making the brokers money, unless you're dealing with massive orders. They will bleed you slowly.

You wanna follow the big/smart money, think of them like whales. They are not nimble and their moves are obvious because their order sizes are massive.
The best analogy is an elephant trying to get in a kiddy pool without being noticed, which segways to my next point.

Fundanental traders are infact trading latent info versus technical traders. Because when you open the charts you can see the areas where there is supply and demand. Kind hard to see it through P/E ratios. And dont get me fired up about those talking heads.
The weather stations compete with those financial muppets.

Nobody has a crystal ball, but having strategy increases your probabilities of being on the rite side. Trading is not intuitive, because you can be losing 60% of your trades and still profit.

I'll finish off by saying the more knowlegeable you aquire the less shat/tools you need. Today trading for me consists of a generic chart platform which is pretty much free ( Tradingview.com), FinViz.com to scan the market for good setups. And i use CIBC investors edge as my options broker.

The gravy which nobody mentions is setting up your charts on tradingview.com on the 3Month, 6Month Japanese Candlesticks. Thats where you get see everything from the clouds and know whats going on down below. No other platform that i know has it ,unless Think or Swim does. That option is a paid annual subscription, but you can run a free 1month trial and just keep switching emails.

I hope im not out of context here, since this seemed the most fitting place. Sorry for the long rant, but i leave at that for now. Any questions feel free to ask.
Thank you for the info, could you share more? I was always interested in trading but since my strategies did not work out I stuck with HODLing mostly :)

Could you tell more about your trading strategy?
 
Check out "Set and Forget Trading Community" on youtube. That's exactly how i trade, because i learned from him , Alfonso Moreno out of Spain. He uses 0 indicators and no fundamentals. If you think about it an indicator is just a math formula, but do you think people are buying something because of a formula or the actual price.

Another thing that messes people up is the Japanese candlesticks, why i say that? Because it records price within a specified time period. How does price movement within a 1 hour candle or 1 day candle help you make a decision on whether to buy or not? It doesn't because price is independent of time.

Pardon for my analogies, but i find it helps simplify trading ideas/concepts. If you were going to buy a Ferrari car, what is more important? That you buy it on a Monday vs Friday, /OR that its selling for $50k vs regular retail of 75k. You see price and time are completely independent and unrelated. Hence looking at charts you have to bear that in mind.

I sometimes use Renko Bar charts rather than Japanese candlesticks, which does not care for time and only actual price movement. But once you get that concept down, you can revert back to japanese candles.

Japanese candlesticks serve to spot Supply and Demand Zones, which cannot be seen with any other chart type in any meaningful manner.
What your looking for on the charts is massive moves, which could be made up of 1 or more candle(s). Once you found the big moves, look for the origin of that move which will tell you where the smart money was actually buying it at. The spike up means that the market could not absorb the order from the big buyers, therefore their orders were not completely fulfilled. So expect that when price retreats back to the origin of the move, the remaining orders will want to be filled.

Everything about trading we already know in day to day life, except humans always want to complicate things. Think of it like this [ another analogy :) ], if you had plans to intentionally buy all the ferrari cars in the world for the purpose of profit, how would you do it? Well you would begin by buying them, obviously! But there is a caveat to all this, lets say there is a total of 1000 of them in the world. As you begin purchasing them, price will begin to rise as you remove the inventory from the market, thus increasing demand for it. Follow so far? Bear in mind you're being 100% intentional about what you're doing, that's the key to smart money, nothing is random or accidental. So as price starts to rise you pay more per car, which is counterproductive to your profit margin, what do you do about it?

Its actually simple! By getting the talking muppets to put out bad reviews about the car, making people panic and sell at a discount to the smart money. Smart money continues to gobble up all the cars, until there is nothing left. Now we're presented with an opportunity to sell all of the inventory, but you cant flood the market, because you will depreciate the cars to fast to soon making it counterproductive. So, they bleed off stock gently monitoring prices all the while getting the muppets to put out good reviews about the cars now. People see prices are high and think its a good time to buy because its up.
I think you get the point, and apologize if i ramble on , but its the only way i can explain that makes sense.

This cycle happens all time and every time, its the same tricks over and over. Squeezing the dumb money into the grinder. Please don't do it! There are well over 5000 stocks you can trade, don't fall in love with any particular one. Fall in love with profits and make your decisions based on that.

I put a picture of a stock ( Aurora Cannabis Inc) ticker symbol (ACB) canadian weed stock. Its a 3Month chart where you can see the highlighted blue area showing a Demand zone. Price at that demand zone consolidated for about 9 months and then exploded to the upside with that big green candle. What do you think will happen this time? Considering price has pulled back into that Demand zone already. Well my educated guess would be, smart money is accumulating orders at current price, while trying very hard not to make it obvious. Afraid of price moving up and having to pay a little more than they want to.

There you have it! Hopefully you made it this far.
Any questions shoot away.
 

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Check out "Set and Forget Trading Community" on youtube. That's exactly how i trade, because i learned from him , Alfonso Moreno out of Spain. He uses 0 indicators and no fundamentals. If you think about it an indicator is just a math formula, but do you think people are buying something because of a formula or the actual price.

Another thing that messes people up is the Japanese candlesticks, why i say that? Because it records price within a specified time period. How does price movement within a 1 hour candle or 1 day candle help you make a decision on whether to buy or not? It doesn't because price is independent of time.

Pardon for my analogies, but i find it helps simplify trading ideas/concepts. If you were going to buy a Ferrari car, what is more important? That you buy it on a Monday vs Friday, /OR that its selling for $50k vs regular retail of 75k. You see price and time are completely independent and unrelated. Hence looking at charts you have to bear that in mind.

I sometimes use Renko Bar charts rather than Japanese candlesticks, which does not care for time and only actual price movement. But once you get that concept down, you can revert back to japanese candles.

Japanese candlesticks serve to spot Supply and Demand Zones, which cannot be seen with any other chart type in any meaningful manner.
What your looking for on the charts is massive moves, which could be made up of 1 or more candle(s). Once you found the big moves, look for the origin of that move which will tell you where the smart money was actually buying it at. The spike up means that the market could not absorb the order from the big buyers, therefore their orders were not completely fulfilled. So expect that when price retreats back to the origin of the move, the remaining orders will want to be filled.

Everything about trading we already know in day to day life, except humans always want to complicate things. Think of it like this [ another analogy :) ], if you had plans to intentionally buy all the ferrari cars in the world for the purpose of profit, how would you do it? Well you would begin by buying them, obviously! But there is a caveat to all this, lets say there is a total of 1000 of them in the world. As you begin purchasing them, price will begin to rise as you remove the inventory from the market, thus increasing demand for it. Follow so far? Bear in mind you're being 100% intentional about what you're doing, that's the key to smart money, nothing is random or accidental. So as price starts to rise you pay more per car, which is counterproductive to your profit margin, what do you do about it?

Its actually simple! By getting the talking muppets to put out bad reviews about the car, making people panic and sell at a discount to the smart money. Smart money continues to gobble up all the cars, until there is nothing left. Now we're presented with an opportunity to sell all of the inventory, but you cant flood the market, because you will depreciate the cars to fast to soon making it counterproductive. So, they bleed off stock gently monitoring prices all the while getting the muppets to put out good reviews about the cars now. People see prices are high and think its a good time to buy because its up.
I think you get the point, and apologize if i ramble on , but its the only way i can explain that makes sense.

This cycle happens all time and every time, its the same tricks over and over. Squeezing the dumb money into the grinder. Please don't do it! There are well over 5000 stocks you can trade, don't fall in love with any particular one. Fall in love with profits and make your decisions based on that.

I put a picture of a stock ( Aurora Cannabis Inc) ticker symbol (ACB) canadian weed stock. Its a 3Month chart where you can see the highlighted blue area showing a Demand zone. Price at that demand zone consolidated for about 9 months and then exploded to the upside with that big green candle. What do you think will happen this time? Considering price has pulled back into that Demand zone already. Well my educated guess would be, smart money is accumulating orders at current price, while trying very hard not to make it obvious. Afraid of price moving up and having to pay a little more than they want to.

There you have it! Hopefully you made it this far.
Any questions shoot away.

Thank you very much for this insight in your thought process, honestly my approach to investing is similar(mostly trend analysis, simple S&D etc) but never used Japanese candlesticks (If you mean heikin ashi or something other than the ordinary candlesticks... then i use them :) ). I will check out the youtube channel you mentioned and if you have any group on social media (telegram, fb, tw whatever) please let me know id love to link up and pass the occasional idea with you and like-minded individuals.

Best,
D.
 
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Just ordinary japanese candlesticks. As for trading forums/groups, I steer clear of them. Too much jabbering and crab mentality. Im in Alfonso's community, but its a paid monthly subscription. But he has alot of free content on youtube you can learn from and understand the system.
 
I have always been interested in trading but l dont know why all the ways are failing :( l am broken
 
Just ordinary japanese candlesticks. As for trading forums/groups, I steer clear of them. Too much jabbering and crab mentality. Im in Alfonso's community, but its a paid monthly subscription. But he has alot of free content on youtube you can learn from and understand the system.
Are you really making money with this? I tried to, I made a few bucks but eventually loose all my gains and some extra :-)
 
What about divident investing? This is the type of investing I am doing lately
 
This trading is too advanced, lol. I buy a company I believe in and hold hold hold.
 
Trading is not complicated when you exercise reasonable expectations from it. Just like you would from yourself. What do I mean? If you come into the market with $XX amount of dollars expecting to make 100% net profit annualized, well I can tell you the Gurus have done a great job lying to you. Don't take this personally. First have to follow a system that guides you through the murky waters, and trust that it will lead you to safe passage. Without a system your navigating blind and just free styling. And I can tell you first hand that doesn't work out well. Only the pros can free style, and they probably don't, so why would you even think of it.

Dividends are great provided the company stays solvent, but can anyone make that promise? Don't get me wrong I like dividends, but nobody ever got rich doing it relative to their initial investment. Expanding a bit more on dividends, even if you do get an amazing dividend payout of lets say 8%. Inflation is actually 5%, not the advertised 2% and more depressing Buffett builds in to his net profit 8% inflation. Which puts us at the watermark provided we get a great 8% dividend.

Anything that is advertised and sold to the masses is probably not what they really need to succeed, but its easy to get sucked in when we don't have anyone to look for advice.

Develop a way to scan the market for potential setups using higher timeframe charts (japanese candles), minimum 3month and as high as 12month. That's where the big fish are probing and hanging out. DO NOT DAY TRADE!!! You will get decimated by the algos'. When you execute a trade think " I will hold this position for at least a year". Look to buy when the price is down, and do not follow the herd because you heard on StockTwits or Twitter or Facebook or Yahoo or TV they are buying. I couldn't give a shit about what the media is talking about, remember they are media people, not financial experts. AT ALL!! I'm glad I got that out of the way. So always look to buy when the price is low. If price has started to take off just wait for another stock opportunity. Lastly only put money you are willing to lose, and that will give the confidence and calm to watch your trade without every having to worry.

Losing traders over leverage themselves, and make bad decisions because they're no longer rational due to being out of their comfort zone financially.

So you are reading this and saying, buddy your just babbling on without showing us any tricks or tips. Well I hope you comb through words are really grasp what is being said first of all, and I don't expect you to get it at first site.
This takes a lot of time to fully encompass.
But I will leave an essential guideline and sources so you can start developing a keen eye for great setups.

So onto the good stuff.

Things you need that are 100% free and some using some blackhat are free too.
  1. Get a TRADINGVIEW account with a 30 day free subscription, and than rotate emails to get another free sub.
  2. Sign up for FINVIZ its a free stock scanner.
  3. Look up OptionsProfitCalculator.com to get the options price.

Tradingview

The reason you subscribe to the 30day free trial of Tradingview, otherwise you wouldn't have too. Is you need to view Charts in 3M,6M,12M Time Frames, which is not offered in the free version. They only offer up to the Monthly Timframe on the free version.
You navigate to charts once your on the platform, and you look at the TOPLEFT header where it shows your timefame header and typically will show 4H, D,W, M.
What you do is simply type in 3M,6M,12M and so forth. And the Time frame will change. You can pick any time frame integer, but those are what I personally use.

Finviz

You can sign up its completely free.
Once your on the platform, go to Screener. In Screener, go to Filters and select ALL.
Look for:
  • Market CAP.: Select Mid Cap
  • Price: Under $50 You can go higher if you comfortable, but this is where I stay.
  • Average Volume: 1million and up Need a liquid stock to buy and sell into.
  • IPO Date: More than 5 years Want companies with some history, otherwise it can risky.
  • Option/Short: Optionable This will show you stocks that you can trade options with.
OptionsProfitCalculator

Go on the site and click on LONG CALL (bullish), if you think the stock is goings up.
LONG PUT (bearish), if you think stock is going down.

Once you selected 1 of the options, a new screen will appear.
Input the Symbol of the stock and click GET PRICE.
Price appears, then click Select Option

Option chart will appear in a new screen
Above the chart will display all the experies available. I advice to pick a 1 Year expiry from the day you decide to trade.

The Option chart will display CALLS( going up) and PUTS(going down).
The Ask column is what you pay for the option.
Look at the Strike price. See which price you would like to buy it at based on your analysis on Tradingview, and look for the corresponding Ask price.

Hope this could be of help. Please don't look at anything lower than 1Month Chart on Tradingview, because its just noise. DONT DAYTRADE

I will post a pic of a perfect/optimal chart and what you should be looking/scanning for. You should for the next few months just focus on getting a hang of the controls and scanning all stocks. Don't miss one. The more you scan the more clear more confidence you get.



acb.PNG


 

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To add to the above image which is a current trade im holding of ACB. Now remove yourself from the normal thought process, which would be something like this, " o my that stock is going to tank no wonder its down, everyone is losing their shirts, its too dangerous i shouldn't buy".

Warren Buffett says "when everyone is selling i am buying". Dont run away, run towards it.

The point is this, when would be good time to buy?
When every Tom/Dick/Harry is buying? NOOOO!!! When the stock has moved 30% and now your following the trend?

You buy when its down, and yes this stock can very well Tank. Great observation!! But it can very well Rip too!! Welcome to trading. But if the juice is worth the squeeze, you squeezy. The laws of average will take care the rest.

Look for setups that are obvious like this, because most are running away from it. And they run away because they dont look at the 3M/6M time frames for the view from above. They look at the Daily, Weekly, Monthly where its just noise and unclear patterns.

And if you dont believe me, check out "ACB" on the Daily and Weekly charts and compare it to my 3M chart. See which one is more clear and obvious. That should be your eureka moment why people are sloshing through shit, scratching their noggens.

Seperate yourself from the HERD and start using 3M and higher timeframes, and things become more apparent.

But i guess time will show.
 
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