Anybody pro's in tokenomic? (question)

PinguSpy

PinguSpy

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It's very rare to see people discuss in this topic.
From what I'm aware is, tokenomic.. wallets %.. vesting/unlock date,,, are the main key either the price will pump or dump, regardless how good the fundamentals is.

Question:

There is one coin that I just bought a few weeks ago..
Total supplies > 100m
Circulating supplies > 15m (very low)
Current price: $5+ .. over 200%+ gain withing 48hr today fk!!

I bought this coin at $1.4 .. and then bought another at $1.3
And then I just realize that.. based on token vesting/unlock date.. they gonna be adding another 5m - 10m tokens into the circulating on XX/Dec/2021

So yeah I sold them all, thinking I gonna buy it back on that date.

My question is.. do you think the price gonna dump to $1.4 & below?
Or it wont?
Man this is one of the project that I like.. seeing the price fly from $1 > $5 within a few weeks really make me feel like :poop:
 
Last edited:
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What's the name of the token, if you don't mind sharing? Obviously no one can predict the future but in order to give you my humble opinion on the price I would need to see the token, its chart and its fundamentals.
 
R4v3nbl4ck said:
What's the name of the token, if you don't mind sharing? Obviously no one can predict the future but in order to give you my humble opinion on the price I would need to see the token, its chart and its fundamentals.
Click to expand...
The price definitely gonna pump if I reveal the token name.

I just need to know does anyone have any experience when the new token is released into the circulating. Is it the price tank or not?

Chart aint relevant much in crypto + low mcp.
 
PinguSpy said:
The price definitely gonna pump if I reveal the token name.

I just need to know does anyone have any experience when the new token is released into the circulating. Is it the price tank or not?

Chart aint relevant much in crypto + low mcp.
Click to expand...
Is it a shitcoin with no use case? If so, the price could lower after the initial hype.
 
PinguSpy said:
The price definitely gonna pump if I reveal the token name.

I just need to know does anyone have any experience when the new token is released into the circulating. Is it the price tank or not?

Chart aint relevant much in crypto + low mcp.
Click to expand...
Chart is very relevant in crypto. Charts are more relevant than anything else if you know what you are looking for in the charts.

Matter of fact the only reason I cannot give an opinion about all you have said is because there is no chart.:)
 
My knowledge is very limited as I have less of experience than you. I myself have give thoughts to this. I assume the price will drop due to price saturation on the tokens. By no means, I am an expert, anything I say take it with a massive pinch of salt
 
PinguSpy said:
The price definitely gonna pump if I reveal the token name.

I just need to know does anyone have any experience when the new token is released into the circulating. Is it the price tank or not?

Chart aint relevant much in crypto + low mcp.
Click to expand...

In theory we all know the price dumps whenever supply > demand. That’s why you sold. But demand can also > supply.

So we cannot say with certainty that the price would dump when new tokens released into the pool. It depends on multiple factors.

Say if this token trends up to $8-$9, then token released, then price pulls back to $6, you end up having to buy back higher. Especially if the release date is far from here.

Another situation, there could be many people like you worrying that the price could dump, so they hesitate to press the buy button till the day. Price will be drawn down and you can buy lower.

So there’s no one answer fits all for your question. And we don’t even know the coin here. You need to consider different factors to get the specific answer.
 
michaeladewale2010 said:
Chart is very relevant in crypto. Charts are more relevant than anything else if you know what you are looking for in the charts.

Matter of fact the only reason I cannot give an opinion about all you have said is because there is no chart.:)
Click to expand...
This is 1D chart
EltRWk9


4H chart
bGdPYYD




Fundamentals:

xx/Dec/2021: 5,000,000 new tokens gonna be release into the circulating
Mainnet Launch: 2022 (so no super big even gonna happen yet)
CEX listing: +2 new last week.
Current circulating supplies: 15m+
Wallet analysis (tokenomic):
IsPH1RW
(almost red flag, few wallets holding too many tokens can cause massive dump / the price wont pump. exp FORM.. NAFTER)
 
May I ask where you get the wallet analysis? Needs them to some of my investments :-)
 
Luk3 said:
May I ask where you get the wallet analysis? Needs them to some of my investments :)
Click to expand...
Is not really analysis.. It just basic research on whales wallet via etherscan or bscan > Holders
Real analysis is using parsiq, but that is forensic level by scanning what big wallet or team did with the token, either they hold it or slowly dump it.
I'm still noob at this to be honest.
 
Nah I can see similar ratio in my project. This whale is also dumping all 3 days and the price is not going up...
 

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Luk3 said:
Nah I can see similar ratio in my project. This whale is also dumping all 3 days and the price is not going up...
Click to expand...
It only take 1% from the total supply to fux up the market.
That's why avoid project with too many whales.
If top 10 wallets (except cex/dex) hold majority of the token.. then = red flag.
Another thing that I learned was if 1-2 wallets holding more than 5-10% of the total supplies = red flag.

Example

nafter
https://bscscan.com/token/0xd7730681b1dc8f6f969166b29d8a5ea8568616a3#balances
form (although it has been listed on kucoin, yet the price still wont pump)
https://etherscan.io/token/0x21381e026ad6d8266244f2a583b35f9e4413fa2a#balances
 
Is this a token?
Depends on the method of how they are adding tokens to circulation.
I'm guessing they had some locked contract which has expired so those tokens can be sold?
This wont have a direct impact on price, but the market psychology can be that there is likely to be more sellers than previously so price will go down.

Alternatives?
Are they minting new tokens and selling them, if so this will tank the price.

Or are they minting more tokens and adding liquidity to the pool, then it will have no direct impact on the price, the only thing it will do is reduce the volatility of trades. This can have a positive impact as the token is perceived as being more stable.
 
depends -- how many people are aware of the token unlocking increasing supply? Is this secret info that only you are aware of?

also, the team may have plans for releasing some bullish news / developments / upgrades to coincide with the increasing supply . This may keep price more stable
 
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