Been living in crypto for 13 years. Surprise me :)

coinkiller

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Yeah. I've been around since October 2013. Hit me with something crypto-related that actually catches me off guard.

For example: with a simple console trick across X and TG, you can pin down where a project's dev lives with ~90% accuracy.
 
Based on your experience, I think you could share some advice and tips with the rest of us about getting started in the cryptocurrency market.
 
Based on your experience, I think you could share some advice and tips with the rest of us about getting started in the cryptocurrency market.
Crypto is one giant network game. Projects, communities, developers. The whole kitchen is organized behind the scenes, and I've never seen a single innocent project.

You don't make money buying tokens or coins. Right now is the time to start adding value as a volunteer inside communities that are actually cooking something. Being early in the project that kicks off the next trend is what makes you millions, not the buy button.

The market's next spark is agent-based economies. Lean into agent-focused development. Toward the end of the year I think a new blockchain ships, and it'll be fully AI-native. A much bigger bull run starts there.
 
Yeah. I've been around since October 2013. Hit me with something crypto-related that actually catches me off guard.

For example: with a simple console trick across X and TG, you can pin down where a project's dev lives with ~90% accuracy.
Did you know you could mine cryptocurrency from your phone?
 
Hope you’re still holding on to some of those cheap SATs from back in the day, wish I had hopped on the bandwagon that early.
 
It doesn’t really work the way you think, man. Back in the 2014 bull run, when those $10-$15 Bitcoins hit over $300, you just cash out completely. If you don't come from generational wealth, making $4k–$5k feels like hitting the lottery. You only HODL and forget about it if you already have financial safety nets. Back then, absolutely nobody in my circle was saying 'this will be huge in 15 years.' We just didn't have that kind of foresight. That only looks good as a tweet on X. :)
Hope you’re still holding on to some of those cheap SATs from back in the day, wish I had hopped on the bandwagon that early.
 
Crypto is one giant network game. Projects, communities, developers. The whole kitchen is organized behind the scenes, and I've never seen a single innocent project.

You don't make money buying tokens or coins. Right now is the time to start adding value as a volunteer inside communities that are actually cooking something. Being early in the project that kicks off the next trend is what makes you millions, not the buy button.

The market's next spark is agent-based economies. Lean into agent-focused development. Toward the end of the year I think a new blockchain ships, and it'll be fully AI-native. A much bigger bull run starts there.

Based on that...micro caps and small projects are bleeding as hell for years, most of them are just dying during this bear market, my CMC watchlist is full of dead projects that once reached +$100M marketcap and two years later are now delisted from everywhere with $2k volume per day in random dexs

What is your strategy to find a legit project? Something serious that will last for years and not another rugpull or weak project that will eventually die like most alts? How to be sure it is a legit team and not a bunch of crooks using your energy to fill their pockets?
 
Based on that...micro caps and small projects are bleeding as hell for years, most of them are just dying during this bear market, my CMC watchlist is full of dead projects that once reached +$100M marketcap and two years later are now delisted from everywhere with $2k volume per day in random dexs

What is your strategy to find a legit project? Something serious that will last for years and not another rugpull or weak project that will eventually die like most alts? How to be sure it is a legit team and not a bunch of crooks using your energy to fill their pockets?
This is the foundation of trade and economics. Crypto offers financial freedom, we all know that. And every single day, new projects ship. Between 2019 and 2020 there were a few thousand active tokens. By 2024-2025, platforms like pump.fun pushed that number into the millions. So the game is no longer about production.

Because the old lock-and-thief equation holds here too. Someone builds a product, a lock, to create a safer environment. The thief picks the lock. The builders ship a better lock. The thief picks it again. That cycle never stops.

Crypto runs the exact same way. Builders contribute to the financial-freedom thesis by building things. Investors fund it. Scammers develop methods and rug. Right now, tools like vibecoding have sped up building so much that people with zero connection to tech or development have started shipping. Utility and long-term projects, the ones with a based team, have started collapsing. Investors no longer need to pour money into known, familiar tech. They are busy coding it themselves. Crypto got squeezed because it stopped being a safe harbor for capital. There is no mechanism to tell a legit project apart from a scam. A beautifully designed project turns out to be one guy. Nobody needs to touch trade terminals like Axiom anymore, because people are coding their own.

A serious shift is coming. Financial freedom and crypto will continue, but the known players are going to shift hard. That includes major coins and their ecosystems. Right now I can name 30 coins inside the CMC top 50 that will disappear completely.

Like I said, the lock-and-thief equation matters enormously to how financial freedom gets built in crypto. But the thief side is winning, so investors are running. So what has to happen? You build a better lock. And you need to stand with the people building the locks.

For memecoin builders​

Here is my take. Memecoins usually don't carry a based-team structure, so the whole thing shifted to the OG side. Outside of channels and communities that already have an audience, making money on memecoins is hard. Unless you are core team or insider, finding a memecoin and actually making money on it is a real casino. Think of it like Twitch streaming. If you want to become a Twitch streamer, you first volunteer as a mod in a Discord community, you make yourself useful, and over time you become a core member of a trusted network. The real money comes from that core circle. If you want to go this route, start now: volunteer, add value, build your network.

For utility builders​

Here is my take. If you are a solo dev and you want to make money on the building side, don't focus on a general idea, focus on a specific problem. Vibecoding makes shipping easier, but it does not hand you problem-solving. Before you write a single line, join the ecosystem communities and learn the actual problems and costs that investors and developers deal with. For example, there are a ton of people building with vibecoding. Find solutions that save them time or cut their costs. If you can take another developer's $300 a month down to $290, trust me, they will give you a shot. Or, far more important, build tools that keep investors from losing money. In a bull market everything is green, but when the tide goes out, the point is not just making money, it is not losing it. Because there is no edge. When the war heats up, you don't survive with a weapon, you survive with armor and defense. On top of that, go straight at rugpull techniques. Think like the thief. How are projects created, what is behind them, what infrastructure do they run on? Learn that. Build logic on top of it and create tools that protect investors. If you are a developer, I will hand you million-dollar ideas.

Now the part you probably care about most, the investor side​

Here is my thinking and my advice for people putting money into crypto.

If you invest on the major-coin side, inside the CMC top 50, then trading on tier-1 exchanges like Binance makes sense. But if you like degen trading and you want to hunt a 1000x (:D), the first thing you do is stop searching for tokens the dumb way and drop the CEXs. Pulling that kind of return from tokens you find on Dexscreener or pump.fun is (right now) close to impossible. Those "$5 turned into $500K" tweets only mean one thing. They get posted to pull fresh investors into the market, and that wallet is 99.9999% an insider wallet. So your $50 turning into $500K, forget it, even $5K is a fantasy. (I am talking about the current market.) There is an old line: "make friends with rich people, network = net worth." In crypto that is 100% true. You need to be close to the memecoin builders and utility builders from above. It is not that hard, just stay active in communities and on X. Who is building what, what are the trends, which X profiles are interacting, what are people posting about, what is developing across ecosystems. Get close to these projects. Push to get into the core team. Instead of the $20-$50 you would throw in every day, waiting and putting $500 into one single project will make you more money, trust me. Taking shots from the trenches every day with $20-50 is just a loss of time, money, and psychology. Because inside the system, you are exactly the investor profile they want. The real money goes to the people who built the system.

Focus on this: AI-based payment systems, AI audit and bug bounty systems, projects that merge crypto with real products, utility SaaS built on AI infrastructure, and infrastructure providers like Helius. Build alongside these, add real value, put in the work.

As for me, I've just been watching the market for about 7 months now. I do technical consulting in this space, but I'm not investing yet. Because there's no wave yet, and a dead-calm sea is pure chaos. I'm waiting for the right ecosystem to show up, the one already in my head, the one I know is coming.
 
You've been involved in crypto for 13 years how much have you made from it, and what's the biggest lesson you've learned along the way? Would you be willing to share your experience?
 
You've been involved in crypto for 13 years how much have you made from it, and what's the biggest lesson you've learned along the way? Would you be willing to share your experience?
I've made enough to retire. Here's what I learned: build something, or get close to the people who build. Stop trying to make money trading on your own. Don't trust influencers, KOL channels, or the personalities you follow. They're all part of the system.
 
I keep coming back to that console trick you mentioned @coinkiller, the one that supposedly pins down where a dev lives. You dangled it and then the whole thread went a different direction. Care to actually break that down? Because the rest of what you're saying about standing next to builders instead of trading, yeah I mostly agree, but that's the part nobody's pushing you on.

The "get into the core team" advice is solid in theory but honestly for most people here that's a years long grind and by the time you're actually inside a circle the trend already moved. @Venusaur asked the right question about spotting a legit team and I don't think it really got answered... just "the thief is winning so build a better lock." That's a nice framing but it's not a filter you can use on a monday morning looking at some new project.

The one thing I'd add is onchain history tells you more than the website or the team ever will. Wallet age, who funded the deployer, whether the same fingerprints show up on three rugs from last year. That stuff is public and it's boring so nobody checks it, which is exactly why it works.
 
I keep coming back to that console trick you mentioned @coinkiller, the one that supposedly pins down where a dev lives. You dangled it and then the whole thread went a different direction. Care to actually break that down? Because the rest of what you're saying about standing next to builders instead of trading, yeah I mostly agree, but that's the part nobody's pushing you on.

The "get into the core team" advice is solid in theory but honestly for most people here that's a years long grind and by the time you're actually inside a circle the trend already moved. @Venusaur asked the right question about spotting a legit team and I don't think it really got answered... just "the thief is winning so build a better lock." That's a nice framing but it's not a filter you can use on a monday morning looking at some new project.

The one thing I'd add is onchain history tells you more than the website or the team ever will. Wallet age, who funded the deployer, whether the same fingerprints show up on three rugs from last year. That stuff is public and it's boring so nobody checks it, which is exactly why it works.
The reason I said I haven't made a single buy in 7 months is that trading on an established trend or a set algorithm is really hard right now. That's why I said I'm waiting for the developments I have in mind to play out. Because the lock equation needs to evolve again and create a proper trading environment, and that only happens once those developments land.

If last year's conditions still held, I'd tell you that you could make money with a single strategy. Last year, between January and May, I'd have told you to buy only at 06:30 AM UTC (not a joke). Because after a long grind I'd figured out that the tokens pushing past a $1M market cap were only getting launched around those hours. On that one time-based strategy alone, I made money for close to three months.

I didn't run the known trading playbook. Because you have to think like the thief. If you look at bundle ratio, top holders, the history behind the wallets, you learn nothing. Because the thief already knows you're looking. Bundle wallets get hidden, whois info gets buried, social accounts get spun up from different countries behind proxies. But imagination doesn't change.

You can tell whether a project came from the same team by the style, by the way they post. Once you learn to spot the projects that come from the right teams, those are the only ones you buy. So handing you a cookie-cutter strategy would be nonsense. A strategy built on tools everyone can reach and use means nothing.

Picking the right project by staring at bundle ratio and wallet connections is very hard now. The sea is dead calm right now, and I'd tell you to just watch and follow for a few more months. I'll say it again: a development is needed, and it's the thing that will strengthen the lock system. Real investments and strategic buys become possible then. Not now.
 
Old ENS registrations link back to KYC if the funding wallet ever touched a CEX. Blockchain never forgets.
 
This is the foundation of trade and economics. Crypto offers financial freedom, we all know that. And every single day, new projects ship. Between 2019 and 2020 there were a few thousand active tokens. By 2024-2025, platforms like pump.fun pushed that number into the millions. So the game is no longer about production.

Because the old lock-and-thief equation holds here too. Someone builds a product, a lock, to create a safer environment. The thief picks the lock. The builders ship a better lock. The thief picks it again. That cycle never stops.

Crypto runs the exact same way. Builders contribute to the financial-freedom thesis by building things. Investors fund it. Scammers develop methods and rug. Right now, tools like vibecoding have sped up building so much that people with zero connection to tech or development have started shipping. Utility and long-term projects, the ones with a based team, have started collapsing. Investors no longer need to pour money into known, familiar tech. They are busy coding it themselves. Crypto got squeezed because it stopped being a safe harbor for capital. There is no mechanism to tell a legit project apart from a scam. A beautifully designed project turns out to be one guy. Nobody needs to touch trade terminals like Axiom anymore, because people are coding their own.

A serious shift is coming. Financial freedom and crypto will continue, but the known players are going to shift hard. That includes major coins and their ecosystems. Right now I can name 30 coins inside the CMC top 50 that will disappear completely.

Like I said, the lock-and-thief equation matters enormously to how financial freedom gets built in crypto. But the thief side is winning, so investors are running. So what has to happen? You build a better lock. And you need to stand with the people building the locks.

For memecoin builders​

Here is my take. Memecoins usually don't carry a based-team structure, so the whole thing shifted to the OG side. Outside of channels and communities that already have an audience, making money on memecoins is hard. Unless you are core team or insider, finding a memecoin and actually making money on it is a real casino. Think of it like Twitch streaming. If you want to become a Twitch streamer, you first volunteer as a mod in a Discord community, you make yourself useful, and over time you become a core member of a trusted network. The real money comes from that core circle. If you want to go this route, start now: volunteer, add value, build your network.

For utility builders​

Here is my take. If you are a solo dev and you want to make money on the building side, don't focus on a general idea, focus on a specific problem. Vibecoding makes shipping easier, but it does not hand you problem-solving. Before you write a single line, join the ecosystem communities and learn the actual problems and costs that investors and developers deal with. For example, there are a ton of people building with vibecoding. Find solutions that save them time or cut their costs. If you can take another developer's $300 a month down to $290, trust me, they will give you a shot. Or, far more important, build tools that keep investors from losing money. In a bull market everything is green, but when the tide goes out, the point is not just making money, it is not losing it. Because there is no edge. When the war heats up, you don't survive with a weapon, you survive with armor and defense. On top of that, go straight at rugpull techniques. Think like the thief. How are projects created, what is behind them, what infrastructure do they run on? Learn that. Build logic on top of it and create tools that protect investors. If you are a developer, I will hand you million-dollar ideas.

Now the part you probably care about most, the investor side​

Here is my thinking and my advice for people putting money into crypto.

If you invest on the major-coin side, inside the CMC top 50, then trading on tier-1 exchanges like Binance makes sense. But if you like degen trading and you want to hunt a 1000x (:D), the first thing you do is stop searching for tokens the dumb way and drop the CEXs. Pulling that kind of return from tokens you find on Dexscreener or pump.fun is (right now) close to impossible. Those "$5 turned into $500K" tweets only mean one thing. They get posted to pull fresh investors into the market, and that wallet is 99.9999% an insider wallet. So your $50 turning into $500K, forget it, even $5K is a fantasy. (I am talking about the current market.) There is an old line: "make friends with rich people, network = net worth." In crypto that is 100% true. You need to be close to the memecoin builders and utility builders from above. It is not that hard, just stay active in communities and on X. Who is building what, what are the trends, which X profiles are interacting, what are people posting about, what is developing across ecosystems. Get close to these projects. Push to get into the core team. Instead of the $20-$50 you would throw in every day, waiting and putting $500 into one single project will make you more money, trust me. Taking shots from the trenches every day with $20-50 is just a loss of time, money, and psychology. Because inside the system, you are exactly the investor profile they want. The real money goes to the people who built the system.

Focus on this: AI-based payment systems, AI audit and bug bounty systems, projects that merge crypto with real products, utility SaaS built on AI infrastructure, and infrastructure providers like Helius. Build alongside these, add real value, put in the work.

As for me, I've just been watching the market for about 7 months now. I do technical consulting in this space, but I'm not investing yet. Because there's no wave yet, and a dead-calm sea is pure chaos. I'm waiting for the right ecosystem to show up, the one already in my head, the one I know is coming.
Thank you @coinkiller , most interesting thread about crypto in a while.

I've started coding with AI, mainly dabbling with arbitrage bots. I can't believe I was doing arbitrages by hand in 2021 while the likes of cbb were coding snipper bots and making millions. Really missed the boat on coding and trying to catch up now only to find myself competing with established teams and huge market makers.

After a few weeks of research I found a niche market that's too small to be interesting to the big teams/infras, I'm currently in the paper trading phase for a few more days, but your posts in this thread are putting my brains on fire!!

An "AI agent native blockchain"... I know that Mode Network (L2) was describing itself as DeFi with onchain AI agents. But I guess you're thinking of something built from scratch to be agent centric. Like Hyperliquid was a chain built to be an orderbook perp DEX from the start, not as an app standing on another chain.

If I read you correctly, you gave advice to the "Utility Builders", but I see no mention of building trading tools with AI. You're not using automated tools for trading or for your research?
 
Back in the 2014 bull run, when those $10-$15 Bitcoins hit over $300, you just cash out completely.
That's still a solid return though, some of us instead bought the top in 2013 at $1000, and then panic sold the 2014 bottom at $300.


Yeah... mistakes were made :D
 
Based on your experience, I think you could share some valuable advice and practical tips to help the rest of us get started in the cryptocurrency market.
 
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