Recent content by reikano_pred

thanks for joining this thread. I am betting on the second picture. Why I do that. It gives me clear risk to reward, Polymarket has almost no fees which gives big advantage. If I would buy/sell bitcoin by my signals on 1h exchange fees would destroy me... But for 4h signals I would profit...

Hello, I’ve developed machine-learning models that forecast 1-hour and 4-hour candle movements (up or down), and I’m seeking a front-end developer/designer to help transform my current Streamlit prototype into a fully featured, responsive web application/terminal. Key requirements include...

Hello everyone, I hope you’re all doing well. June Performance Achieved approximately $13,000 in profit. 200 bets. 25% of the profits I take for my self, 25% for updating the project, create UI, website. 50% stack into my portfolio. Challenges Market makers have largely withdrawn...

At the moment I am betting fixed size, problem is liquidity. I am planning to start betting by the: Kelly criterion Short update: - Very successful few days - Total profit above 13k - BTC predictions works very well, ETH predictions struggling so far. - Current Market Maker starts to feel a...

Congratulations on profits. Please be aware gambling is very very dangerous. Maybe on politics you might have some real edge o_O Always be aware that you are betting against somebody who might know more than you. Ofcourse polymarket is great that you are betting against people, not necessarily...

Not an easy task if I understand what you mean correctly, Could you explain what you mean by spot arbitrage opportunities within polymarket?

Hey everyone, quick update: I’ve set up automated order placement — it’s currently running a few minutes before each round. Been doing a bunch of manual trades lately, but the win rate was lower and variance hit me pretty hard Backtested ETH predictions and it looks like there’s a solid edge...

Sure I have done it. Statistics is statistics, but nobody knows what will happen in the future. I have various signals. More reliable signals I am entering via market order for 51cent UP or DOWN prediction. With less win rate signals I am setting limit order at 50cents, hoping somebody will...

Hey. Software engineer, been in the crypto market since 2021. Made some money in NFT boom with automated systems, sniper bots.. I’ve built a bunch of interesting models predicting Bitcoin price. Recently discovered Polymarket betting. I THINK I HAVE an EDGE in forecasting BTC 1h moves —...