This is True and this is what i am keep saying over and over that we never know because we retailer’s are not the Market Maker instead whales and institutions are the who Run the market as they want to !Nobody knows, and nobody will know.
No alt season yet, Whales are manipulating a lot last 3-6 months, no rules, no trader can predict anything anymore, my opinion.
I predict the BTC to bottom around $12k - $15k during the next bear market. Why? Simply because history repeats itself!
Here are some, not so fun memories to help you keep things in perspective:
1ST CYCLE
April 2013 --> BTC Price: $1,240 at CYCLE's ATH
January 2015 --> BTC Price: $200 bottom
That correlates to an ~83% drop in price.
2ND CYCLE
December 2017 --> BTC Price: $19,800 at CYCLE's ATH
December 2018 --> BTC Price: $3,300 bottom
That correlates to another ~83% drop in price.
CURRENT CYCLE
November, 2021 --> BTC Price: $69,100 Current ATH
Next bottom if history repeats itself --> ~$12,000
Could history repeat itself? Probably yes!
Moral of the story: If you never take profits off the table, you're never going to have enough liquidity to catch the dips.
I cashed out the majority of my profits and have my buy orders for BTC spread down between $20k - $12k.
Flame me all you want =)
Maybe someone will thank me for a year, two, or three from now! xD
And of course, DYOR! This is not financial advice.
I think BTC will reach $100k in Q1 or Q2 2022.You think 69k is the final ath in this season?
Cannot say anything because the Trend is Still moving Upward and can cross $100K tok easilyYou think 69k is the final ath in this season?
You're right about his argument being similar to the analogy you gave but in reality that's how predictions are made, whether this would exactly play out with BTC is what I don't know.Your argument is akin to the following.
I always brush my teeth in the morning.
But last day of April I brushed my teeth at night.
And last day of June I also brushed my teeth at night.
And last day of October I also happened to brush my teeth at night.
So in the last day of any of the following months till end of 2022, I will definitely brush my teeth at night.
WHO KNOW ?I don’t believe 69k will be the ath for this cycle. I do; however, believe that bearish market may go down to ~20k based on previous cycle as OP mentioned. Does this mean I’m bearish? Absolutely not! I’ll buy now and keep buying dips to maximize profits and increase capital to buy even more dips.
True! It’s all predictions, and ways to hopefully maximize profits. In the end, profit is profit..WHO KNOW ?
what will Happen at then end of all Bull and Bear trend we will still he in Profit in Bitcoin… All just matter of time holding
All we can do is just have Bitcoin in Discounted Price on each dip and Let the Ride Plah by itself !True! It’s all predictions, and ways to hopefully maximize profits. In the end, profit is profit..
That is almost 100% sure. It could have happened this year itself but then 20% drop happened recently.I think BTC will reach $100k in Q1 or Q2 2022.
It's only bearish if it goes below $43k and stays there.I am convinced that BTC is bearish but need 1 more confirmation candle on which price BTC's heading
Bitcoin will never go to $12k now. Microstrategy will buy all the bitcoins even if touches $30000.