You are here a long time with 3800 message, but really I think bitcoin can be an exception to your argument. No one on the cryptoworld talk about bitcoin going down, besides the minor fluctuations and only the pessimists say "you never know it might go down to $4000", and many people actually agree it will shoot up to 500K. So for 1 bitcoin, in the worse scenario lose $3000 per coin, OR make $493,000 with today's price. Also, this is decentralized ever growing blockchain technology, not like speculation about the price of gas or rice. The rise of bitcoin is due to the decentraized concept and the mass adoption of this technology. And we are not at mass, and that's why it will go up to 250K-500K.