Does having a couple of succeses within a small sample size make that probability more likely or not? For example does two conversions within a small sample mean that the conversion rate is any higher? Although I thought so at first I realised actually that its like if you happened to get two heads in a row isnt it? Ie getting two hits is just as likely as getting all misses its just your mind rememebrs the hits? Once could easily have been a fluke but twice in a short space makes it alot less likely to be fluke doesnt it or no? This actually relates to me getting laid. I happened to get laid twice in the space of a few weeks in this new club I started going to but Ive been going again and not getting any results so I dont like it now. Im thinking they were just wild flukes I got two in a row. Is the only way to know by going over a long period of time? But it also relates to cpa where with one network I got no hits within a small sample size then hated the network and got a fuke in another such that I thoguht it was excellent and stuck with it. But then when I was getting more traffic I tried the first one again and ended up getting more money So Im wondering what is the most effective way to find out the value of your sample? I know the larger the sample size the better but are there any short cuts to save time so I dont have to waste nights out on shitty nights where I dont get laid? Maybe I should approach more in the clubs Im at so that effectively increases sample size in the environment on the given evening. That isnt so easy though given my hatred of rejection and pathetically low self esteem.