Making Bank on the Bitcoin Dip: My Simple Strategy

Crytononame

Crytononame

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Bitcoin's down over 16% from its recent ATH, dragging the whole crypto market with it. If a crypto winter hits, we could see BTC drop by 80% or more.
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I sold off my entire crypto portfolio before the crash and now I'm working on a strategy to profit from this downturn. The core idea is to short Ethereum against a basket of altcoins selected based on a simple principle:

Buy an asset when it enters the top 30, 50, or 100 rankings.
These rankings act like unofficial crypto market indices, similar to how stock market indices work. This simple top-tier asset selection method has been effective since the late 19th century (think Dow Jones).

Рис2.jpg

The image shows my strategy gained 7% while BTC dropped 10% in the first 4 days. I've traded 4 assets so far, closing two with profit because they dropped out of the rankings. I rebalance the portfolio daily. Weekly updates to follow.
 
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Crypto winter before January? That would be a first, I think.
On the other hand, this cycle was very different than others, so I guess it could happen.
 
I think an 80% drop is possible, and would be hilarious. How do people not realize they're being played like a fiddle?
 
Shorting ETH before we’ve actually had atleast a good alt season sounds like a bad idea. Historically retractments in price of 10-20% (even 30%) are within normal range - even in a bull market. I feel like we’re going into full blown alt-mania somewhere around Q1/Q2 of ‘25, I base this purely on what happend in the previous cycles - so make of that what you will.
 
Do that in a year and it's a good strategy, mate. I guess BTC will definitely crashes 80%, but in 2026.

You are betting in something highly unlikely to happen, of course, it can always happens, since a nuke or a regional war could screw us at anytime, but it's not the likely thing to happen in 2025
 
doctorlee said:
I think an 80% drop is possible, and would be hilarious. How do people not realize they're being played like a fiddle?
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Most guys on the market only see the potential profits, never the losses. But hey, if it wasn't for those guys, how would anyone make money?
tsumiki said:
Shorting ETH before we’ve actually had atleast a good alt season sounds like a bad idea.
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You're missing the point. It's not just about shorting ETH. The real play is picking solid alts. I went long on Bitget and short on ETH as a hedge. Bitget pumped 80%, and the short added another 30% to the gains. Bottom line: strong alts can still moon even when the market's down.
2024-12-27_120648.jpg
Venusaur said:
You are betting in something highly unlikely to happen, of course, it can always happens, since a nuke or a regional war could screw us at anytime, but it's not the likely thing to happen in 2025
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If there's no bear market in 2025, I'm gonna be rolling in dough. Peep this chart (below). Bitcoin's dumped 10% since Dec 18th, and I'm still up 20%. Imagine the gains when we actually moon.
2024-04-15_103203.jpg
 
Im confused OP how you can make money by shorting ETH alts? Can you give more explanations?
 
My strat's been live for 10 days, and I'm already up 22%, while the Bitcoin hodlers got rekt with an 11% loss.
2024-12-28_042412.jpg
I'm currently holding 7 alts I bought one after another. I've traded a total of 11 different digital currencies in these 10 days.
2024-12-28_052729.jpg

Bratt57 said:
Im confused OP how you can make money by shorting ETH alts? Can you give more explanations?
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You can short ETH/USD on exchanges. Basically, you're "borrowing" ETH and selling it at the current price, agreeing to "buy it back" later. So, if ETH is $1000, you sell it at that price. If it drops to $500, you buy it back cheaper and pocket the difference.
 
Crytononame said:
Bitcoin's down over 16% from its recent ATH, dragging the whole crypto market with it. If a crypto winter hits, we could see BTC drop by 80% or more.
View attachment 405516

I sold off my entire crypto portfolio before the crash and now I'm working on a strategy to profit from this downturn. The core idea is to short Ethereum against a basket of altcoins selected based on a simple principle:

Buy an asset when it enters the top 30, 50, or 100 rankings.
These rankings act like unofficial crypto market indices, similar to how stock market indices work. This simple top-tier asset selection method has been effective since the late 19th century (think Dow Jones).

View attachment 405517

The image shows my strategy gained 7% while BTC dropped 10% in the first 4 days. I've traded 4 assets so far, closing two with profit because they dropped out of the rankings. I rebalance the portfolio daily. Weekly updates to follow.
Click to expand...

80% i don't think, thats gonna happend
 
tsumiki said:
Shorting ETH before we’ve actually had atleast a good alt season sounds like a bad idea. Historically retractments in price of 10-20% (even 30%) are within normal range - even in a bull market. I feel like we’re going into full blown alt-mania somewhere around Q1/Q2 of ‘25, I base this purely on what happend in the previous cycles - so make of that what you will.
Click to expand...
I think you are right alt season usual are after btc pump
 
Imagine buying at this drop and then bitcoin going to zero. Nothing is impossible in crypto.
 
Short-term it would make sense to short after this surge that happened after Trump won the USA elections, it's natural for whales to take profit and a lot of them did which already happened and got reflected on the market, IMO it may tank 10-15% more to take out liquidity imbalance from November and scare off average joe dumb money before going over 100k again.
 
Crytononame said:
My strat's been live for 10 days, and I'm already up 22%, while the Bitcoin hodlers got rekt with an 11% loss.
View attachment 407060
I'm currently holding 7 alts I bought one after another. I've traded a total of 11 different digital currencies in these 10 days.
View attachment 407061


You can short ETH/USD on exchanges. Basically, you're "borrowing" ETH and selling it at the current price, agreeing to "buy it back" later. So, if ETH is $1000, you sell it at that price. If it drops to $500, you buy it back cheaper and pocket the difference.
Click to expand...
where you can buy this way?
 
Crytononame said:
Bitcoin's down over 16% from its recent ATH, dragging the whole crypto market with it. If a crypto winter hits, we could see BTC drop by 80% or more.
View attachment 405516

I sold off my entire crypto portfolio before the crash and now I'm working on a strategy to profit from this downturn. The core idea is to short Ethereum against a basket of altcoins selected based on a simple principle:

Buy an asset when it enters the top 30, 50, or 100 rankings.
These rankings act like unofficial crypto market indices, similar to how stock market indices work. This simple top-tier asset selection method has been effective since the late 19th century (think Dow Jones).

View attachment 405517

The image shows my strategy gained 7% while BTC dropped 10% in the first 4 days. I've traded 4 assets so far, closing two with profit because they dropped out of the rankings. I rebalance the portfolio daily. Weekly updates to follow.
Click to expand...
This is really good strategy. Which apps do you use for shorting? Is there a video tutorial that you can recommend?
 
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