By now, you should have known that there are no Guarantess in IM and in Real World. Anything can happen, anytime.
Now that you know your budget, you should consider your investment profile. Do you want to go with safe, long way (likely to yeild slow results) or the high risk, short cut with faster results?
once you have decided that, you can decide the next course of action. If you want a safer way, built good legit sites, invest into content, seo, link building and promotion. If you prefer the other way, go for BH / GH technique for CPA.
But then again, there are no guarantees. A legit Adsense account can be banned too / A cpa account can be banned too if the traffic never converts for advertizer.
Whatever you do, always remember, don't blow all your money on one method or technique without knowing the possible consequences.
Always have Back Up.
Cheers,
HH