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How to calculate future traffic?

Discussion in 'Black Hat SEO' started by Mutikasa, May 2, 2012.

  1. Mutikasa

    Mutikasa Power Member

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    When you're doing keyword research how do you calculate how much traffic will u have if u end up on #1 #2 #3...?
     
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  2. RuiGomes

    RuiGomes BANNED BANNED

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    I think that #1 gets around 40% of the clicks, so it's simple math from here.

    1000 exact searches = 400 visitors

    Don't rely on this too much, since google keyword tool is not that accurate.
     
  3. dbyrn

    dbyrn Power Member

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    Remember that it's only guessing.
    My way of doing the calculations:
    1. Take Exact Searches (in a month) from google adwords tool
    2. Use some data like this: (chikita test, 2010)
    Code:
    [TABLE]
    [TR]
    [TD]1[/TD]
    [TD]2,834,806[/TD]
    [TD]34.35%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]2[/TD]
    [TD]1,399,502[/TD]
    [TD]16.96%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]3[/TD]
    [TD]942,706[/TD]
    [TD]11.42%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]4[/TD]
    [TD]638,106[/TD]
    [TD]7.73%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]5[/TD]
    [TD]510,721[/TD]
    [TD]6.19%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]6[/TD]
    [TD]416,887[/TD]
    [TD]5.05%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]7[/TD]
    [TD]331,500[/TD]
    [TD]4.02%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]8[/TD]
    [TD]286,118[/TD]
    [TD]3.47%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]9[/TD]
    [TD]235,197[/TD]
    [TD]2.85%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD]10[/TD]
    [TD]223,320[/TD]
    [TD]2.71%[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [/TABLE]
    
    Do the math.

    Hope this helps,
    D.

    PS.
     
  4. SolidTactics

    SolidTactics Regular Member

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    You can get a rough estimate by simply going to semrush and looking at the estimated traffic of the leader. For example if you wanted to rank #1 for "black hat seo" you would get approximately 2,400 or more visitors per month. At least this is what BHW gets :)

    I'm sure if you look at the hard numbers it will be slightly different, but this is a good starting point in my opinion if you are working with clients and they have the question. Hope this helps. See the screenshot below.

    bhw.jpg
     
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  5. Mutikasa

    Mutikasa Power Member

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    Certainly you must add some % for the other keywords.
    So the minimum would be around 40% of exact searches for #1.

    I'm interested to see how much to invest in SEO and when to expect return.
    But as I see now, SEO is not so reliable anymore...
     
  6. SolidTactics

    SolidTactics Regular Member

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    You could be on top for every keyword, once they are on your site, what is the "call to action' and "conversion", those are important aspects. If you going to sell advertisement space this is still important as smart advertisers will want to know things like bounce rate, etc. Good luck. :)

    SEO is very important, but its just one part of the puzzle. You should start out by setting an overall goal and objective. What is it that you really want to accomplish.
     
  7. ComputerEngineer

    ComputerEngineer Senior Member

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    google keyword tool
    correct location
    exact match

    and you will get pretty much the idea