Hindsight Bias

Discussion in 'BlackHat Lounge' started by steelballs, Sep 8, 2012.

  1. steelballs

    steelballs BANNED BANNED

    Joined:
    Dec 5, 2008
    Messages:
    1,832
    Likes Received:
    4,561
    Hindsight Bias

    [​IMG]

    Always know whodunnit?

    Researchers say it is just a trick of the mind called 'hindsight bias'

    Source:
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2200128/Always-know-whodunnit-Researchers-say-just-trick-mind-called-hindsight-bias.html#ixzz25rh4CRXU

    Hindsight Bias I knew it would happen?

    Comments?
     
  2. subster

    subster Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

    Joined:
    Apr 5, 2008
    Messages:
    2,017
    Likes Received:
    1,489
    Location:
    Krauthausen
    my girlfriend studies psychology and just wrote something about all kind of biases. i will ask her and get back to this thread once i know more.
     
  3. steelballs

    steelballs BANNED BANNED

    Joined:
    Dec 5, 2008
    Messages:
    1,832
    Likes Received:
    4,561
    Good to hear that! ;)
    [​IMG]
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 1
  4. silentthunder

    silentthunder Power Member

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2009
    Messages:
    529
    Likes Received:
    1,346
    Occupation:
    cpa
    Location:
    In the pink
    Interesting little article mate. I sorta knew it would say what it said... :p
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 1
  5. -Joe-

    -Joe- Junior Member

    Joined:
    Mar 3, 2010
    Messages:
    103
    Likes Received:
    27
    Heh, interesting. Shame it's on the Daily Heil though.
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 1
  6. artificial_genius

    artificial_genius Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2011
    Messages:
    934
    Likes Received:
    327
    Home Page:
    Good article, and it's really important to read up on biases like these. Far too many people in SEO are victims to fallacies like this one when trying to analyze a moving target like SEO.
     
  7. Aegroeg

    Aegroeg Regular Member

    Joined:
    Jun 9, 2012
    Messages:
    273
    Likes Received:
    370
    Occupation:
    Music Producer
    Location:
    Never you mind.
    Very interesting! I think I've fallen victim to this a few times. After my break up I found myself saying out loud " I knew it was going nowhere, etc " but later thinking " Well I didn't, otherwise we wouldn't have been together 5 years....." Its just a way of getting out of looking like your a fool. And it slips out naturally.


    But I DID know the plot to Sixth Sense and Saw within 5 minutes. So I must be truly epic.