Cloaking, a cat and mouse game between cloaking services and crawlers?

I think cloaking services, no matter how expensive, cant be 100% safe because crawlers are updating on a regular basis right?
For example, if facebook updated their crawler/spider, the cloaking service wont detect the new crawler/spider(until the cloaking service updates aswell), resulting in a painful mass ban of all (instagram) accounts which all have a link in their bio which all lead to the same end destination

Are my thoughts correct/justified or are there ways expensive cloaking services permanently ban or redirect all crawlers/ even in future?