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Can Betting on the NBA be this easy??

Discussion in 'Making Money' started by mmtechllc, Mar 4, 2009.

  1. mmtechllc

    mmtechllc Registered Member

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    Fellow blackhatters,

    Let me start off by saying making one thing clear. Im not here to claim to have a secret formula for betting on sports. Although ive been a successful sports better and handicapper for almost 7 years now, Ive never claimed to have the "perfect system" to make money on sports.

    With that being said I think that I have stumbled on a system that might, just might be what I've been looking for.

    A little over a year ago, my best friend (who is a computer programmer for a large company) and I were having a conversation about sports betting when he asked me the following question. "Do you think we could create a computer program that could predict the outcome of a sporting event?" I told him that I didn't think it was possible, but it would be fun to try.

    After about 2 months of programing and creating scripts that import NBA stats we started to see something happening. No we were not predicting the outcome, but we were predicting the odds that the bookmakers were putting up. Almost every time our computer spit out its prediction, the bookies would put up a line almost exactly alike.

    We knew that we were on to something. We knew that although this information wasn't enough to win, we knew that we were using some formula that was very close to what the lines-markers were using. We did notice however, that one or two games were off. Either the total (over/under) was off or the line (et. -6) was off. We then checked and saw that these were popular games that the sports books had alot of action on.

    We started digging deeper and found several sports books that would allow betting on the quarter or the half of an NBA game and not just the total outcome. Our computer spit out predicted box scores so we started to track the results. And then BAM!!

    We hit it!

    Over 80% of the time when a particular quarter or half was off (either the over/under or point spread) we hit. We only played when the quarter was off by 3+ points on the line or 6+ points on the total.

    Here is an example of last night:

    REAL RESULTS

    Team-----------1st------2nd-------3rd-----4th------Total

    Toronto---------26-------23--------23------25-------97
    Houston---------20-------37--------20------30-------107


    COMPUTER RESULTS

    Team-----------1st------2nd-------3rd-----4th------Total

    Toronto---------23-------23--------26------23-------95
    Houston---------22-------34--------23------27-------106

    Because of the point difference in the 2nd quarter we bet Houston -2.5 in the second quarter.

    We have won 12 out of the last 14 games on this!

    Should I sell this info or keep it to myself?
     
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  2. tygoldberg

    tygoldberg Junior Member

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    setup a handicap site
     
  3. mmtechllc

    mmtechllc Registered Member

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    Im considering this. What do you think I could charge?
     
  4. brokentwo

    brokentwo Junior Member

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    Keep it to your self and bank on it man.

    You could sell it, but you then risk saturation...
     
  5. mdhawt

    mdhawt Regular Member

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    charge top dollar for the system...limit it to x number of DownLOADS/purchases
     
  6. real222on

    real222on Junior Member

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    You were hitting 86.67% and that was excellant. You SHOULD have got rich by this time already provided you and your computer friend were not idiots.
    Now,you are here asking for advice what to do with your GENIUS computer program. Be real. Don't try to scam the members here. We have enough scammers already.
     
  7. tygoldberg

    tygoldberg Junior Member

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    [email protected]

    search other handicap sites and see what they charge. no need to worry about oversaturating the market. as there are millions of sites that all claimed they can pick the winners. you say you two are hitting over 80% of the time, if that's the case your site will sell itself
     
  8. mmtechllc

    mmtechllc Registered Member

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    WTF. Be serious. I'm not trying to scam anyone. I'm not rich because I have not bet everything I have on this. That would be being an idiot. I don't claim to have a "GENIUS" computer program.
     
  9. mmtechllc

    mmtechllc Registered Member

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    Lets be clear. I'm not claiming to be able to predict 80% winners. I'm saying that our trial run hit over 80% and 12/14 on the games we bet. I doubt it will be as high as 80% in the long run, but you only need 52% or so to break even. I fully believe this will hit 65%+ in the long run. If I manage my bankroll correctly, I should do well. Not being and "Idiot" as reel22on has so eloquently put it.
     
  10. misterajc

    misterajc Registered Member

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    Bookies change the odds (or point spread) based on the amount bet. If your system works and you sell it, and people make money on it regularly, they will bet more and more until you start shifting the odds and it will no longer work. If it really works you are much better off if you keep it a secret and use it to bet yourself.
     
  11. mmtechllc

    mmtechllc Registered Member

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    The system spits out projected box scores and then compares the results with the betting lines. If there is a significant enough difference then it flags the play. It may flag a quarter or half or total. It just depends.

    ozzy

    Did I mention that i'm personal friends with 6 MLB umpires :)
     
  12. real222on

    real222on Junior Member

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    Say, you are not here to scam anybody. You only want some advice about your program. You should open a few online betting accounts. I can think of 10 betting sites easily. Bet $100 on each site and collect your winnings. You will be rich in a couple of years.

    BTW, I almost believe you. But.... I AM SURE YOU ARE A SCAMMER.
    Liar, liar pants on fire.

    Bring your shit to DP. NO HERE. IDIOT as you claim.
     
  13. mmtechllc

    mmtechllc Registered Member

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    You opinion means nothing to me.
     
  14. nam6641

    nam6641 Supreme Member

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    There is no super system to betting.

    I have gone 15-0 on a Saturday before, and the next day I have gone 0-15.

    Sometimes the way you analyze your picks can go on a hot streak, but trust me that it does not last.

    When you can win throughout an entire season then you can sell it, until then it isn't worth anything, especially after 15 games.
     
  15. real222on

    real222on Junior Member

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    My opinion means nothing to you and YOU ARE DAMMED RIGHT. I am just interested to WAKE UP some of your potential VICTIMS. Thats it.
    Any body even with a pea brain will figure out how to make money on something like this. Let alone some computer wizzard and "FRIENDS" to 6 MLB umpires. Those umpires will jump right on this as they hear this program.
    Be real. Go somewhere.
    Don't worry, I won't post on this thread anymore....
    Don't say I did not warn you... VICTIMS
     
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  16. plut0

    plut0 Regular Member

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    its nice to play asian handicap on many football bookies. you could easily banked around 3-5%.

    just my 2cent.
     
  17. mmtechllc

    mmtechllc Registered Member

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    You are referring to me as a scammer, and others as victims.

    I have not asked anyone for money or anything! Why do you come in here and assume I'm trying to scam. WTF?? I'm not sure what pissed you off, but you have obviously been scammed by someone before and your on a mission to crash threads. Once again, I'm not asking anyone for money, just advice from people on this forum who know how to make the most out of an idea or something they have come across.

    Maybe I when I thought I could come to this forum to get some advice I was wrong. I thought that someone on here could give me some good advice on making the most of the opportunity I've found but I guess I'm wrong.

    nam6641:

    I have been betting on sports for almost 10 years now and I have won over a long haul, but not at this rate. I know what I'm doing, and what I'm looking at.
     
  18. shizaru

    shizaru Regular Member

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    that was great :)
     
  19. real222on

    real222on Junior Member

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    $100,000 would be enough to "fix" a match depending on the team or the players. I believe in OZZY. My friend's friend told me he could tell the results of a football game after the first 15 minutes play.
    I know Bookies fix a lot of games.
    I never thought I would get a thanks here. Thanks OZZY.
    I quit this thread now....
     
  20. shamster25

    shamster25 Regular Member

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    sorry but you should know that in sports odds mean nothing, upsets always happen and even if you do predict something right its just pure luck. there is never and will never be a system to predict scores in sports man