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BHW Reputation percentile breakdown

Discussion in 'BlackHat Lounge' started by demongerbil, Dec 21, 2011.

  1. demongerbil

    demongerbil Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

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    So I noticed I'm approaching +3 Rep and being stats/data nerd that I am I was curious in what percentile site-wise that puts me.

    Here's the data:
    [​IMG]

    Interesting observations:
    99.896% of members are rep 1 or below.
    0.048% are rep 2.
    0.1% are rep 2-11

    To make this dataset more interesting (as vast majority of above accounts are inactive) we filter out everyone who has not made a post in last month, we get: 7649 members (so 3.91% of total 195476).

    To make it even more meaningful we filter out anyone with less than 100 posts (since you can't really get reputation without a significant amount of posts anyway), this brings us down to 843 members.

    Here's the data:
    [​IMG]

    To help us visualize % of total:
    [​IMG]

    To help visualize distribution:
    [​IMG]

    As to be expected it follows a normal distribution, with a very low standard deviation (I was not particularly interested in negative rep, so that side of the bell curve is missing).

    If someone has inclination to can also calculate numbers focusing on the 0-100 rep segment (as well as negative) - although this is borderline impossible, without access to the database, as you would have to click on every account (members list only shows +'s, which are multiples of 100 real rep). One would expect a bell curve with center at 10, but lopsided toward the positive numbers (since negative rep members would likely get banned before going into further negative territory).

    Also, an interesting observation: we see a very small drop off between 1st and 2nd datasets when looking at members with +2rep and above. Only 14 members (or 6.9%) who have +2rep or above have stopped posting, a tiny amount compared to dropoff from # of members with 100+ posts total with 1rep and below (1310) to # of members with 100+ posts and 1rep who have posted in last month (655) - a drop off of exactly 50%. Looks like once a member has +2 and above rep they are much less likely to stop posting.

    Conclusion: when deciding on whether to do a JV, BST, etc with a member, it helps to realize that if they have 100+ posts and +2 rep and above you are dealing with one of only 188 members, so barring some other red flags you should generally be safe (although yes, we have had examples of members in this category who turned out to be scammers).

    Before anyone says it, yes I do have too much free time on my hands, but this doesn't really take too long if you're good at Excel and know how to use site search. :D

    Oh and I still have the spreadsheet if someone for some odd reason wants to tool around with it I'll be happy to PM it (I have some suggestions as to what additional analysis might be interesting to perform, but am not going to spend more time on it).

    Cheers!
     
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  2. meathead1234

    meathead1234 Moderator Staff Member Moderator Premium Member

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    You haven't got the numbers right.

    I have +13 and I'm definitely not the highest in terms of rep power. There are way more than 5 people with more than 10.
     
  3. BENNY8877

    BENNY8877 Supreme Member

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    Your Rep power should be 4, like mine. Check the numbers again professor. :)
     
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    Last edited: Dec 21, 2011
  4. demongerbil

    demongerbil Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

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    Hm, I was going by how many green bars members had in members list.

    Your profile shows 7, I was assuming 1 green bar= +1. Your profile shows 7 bars, and it's 13? That's odd, is it double the # of green bars? Yours should be 14 then.
     
  5. I honestly still have no idea how the rep power system works.
    Seems like it's on like some exponential scale or something.
     
  6. everythingred

    everythingred Jr. VIP Jr. VIP Premium Member

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  7. Autumn

    Autumn Elite Member

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    The number of bars isn't your rep power, it's just some arbitrary scale for displaying rep. I have a respectable +17 rep power but the scale shows 10 squares. There are a few people with rep power 20+.
     
  8. Coz im Gangsta

    Coz im Gangsta Junior Member

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    Holy shit! I aspire to one day have stats like yours.
     
  9. wannabie

    wannabie Elite Member

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    What's rep?
     
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  10. Virus1

    Virus1 Supreme Member

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    No... Instead aspire to make money. REP does not pay the bills.
     
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  11. demongerbil

    demongerbil Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

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    Interesting. In that case I do not see how to see someone rep power, so I guess all my analysis is meaningless. Disregard. :D
     
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  12. Sprouts

    Sprouts Regular Member

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    This is an example of valuable time being wasted. Who cares about the distribution of rep on the forum. Pretty much everything in life is normally distributed whether it be penis size or the length of anus hair.

    Just out of interest, where did you get you statistics from?
     
  13. mudbutt

    mudbutt Jr. Executive VIP Jr. VIP

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    I wish my landlord accepted payment in rep points
     
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  14. Virus1

    Virus1 Supreme Member

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    Yeah... but I am still traumatized by those pics you posted....
    your rep with me is way lower than that.... hahahaha
     
  15. Autumn

    Autumn Elite Member

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    You could probably calculate it: you get 1 rep power for every year you're a member, 1 rep power for every 100 rep points you have, and then you get another rep power at something like 100 posts, 600 posts and some other arbitrary milestones that I can't remember. But you'd probably be better off directing those scraping skills towards something a bit more profitable. :D
     
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  16. 7878

    7878 Executive VIP Premium Member

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    This has to be the first epeen case study I've ever seen. I hope you guys don't put to much stock in this stuff because it really means nothing. :crazy:

    @OP - go outside and lay in the grass with a book, there's better ways to spend your afternoon. ;)
     
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  17. Clearly. As you will notice, the OP's rep has gone from 190 to over 200 from this thread.
     
  18. 7878

    7878 Executive VIP Premium Member

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    I can name at least half a dozen members with 500+ rep that are the biggest herpaderpalers you'll ever meet. So yeah, at least in my eyes, it doesn't mean anything. Forum rep does not = successful, it just means people click give rep a lot. There are clearly some people who have built their entire career here on giving away free tweets, or posting pirated software, or reposting methods that are 5 years old and hyping them up like the next big thing (lame). Those of you who have your bullshit detector on high alert will see them coming from a mile away. :)
     
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  19. demongerbil

    demongerbil Jr. VIP Jr. VIP

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    Fair enough. My point of this post was not that everyone should be chasing rep nor really meant as an epeen study.

    I disagree that it means nothing, at least to me when I am judging whether to do business with someone on this board I look at rep/thanks/post count/account creation etc.

    Rep/thanks are generally reflective of whether someone has been providing valuable content to the board (and yes there are cheap ways to get both). And generally there is inverse correlation between that and probability of them scamming.

    Of course natural distribution was to be expected, what was interesting to me was what was the standard deviation of the distribution.
     
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  20. meathead1234

    meathead1234 Moderator Staff Member Moderator Premium Member

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    Can I call you 799 from now on?
     
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