[Journey] Project Stalker, copy trading in PolyMarket

B

Burn3rs

Newbie
Joined
May 28, 2012
Messages
13
Reaction score
4
I've been obsessed with PolyMarket lately. While I have zero edge/experience in predicting stuff, I know one thing is that someone else does!

I've decided to stop betting on events and start betting on players. I am currently coding a tool to identify and copy trade smart targets on PolyMarket.

Here is my journey so far and the roadblocks I'm hitting!

I've managed to build a first prototype with barely much logic but I got profits from my first day of running it which made me eager to work even more on this project!

The tool is not stable yet, we achieved $60 profit out of $200, really big if you ask me, but here is the deal, it crashed and failed over the night so it missed much more trades!

Profit were made sure, but how is the market gonna react if we scale this up, right now it's buying $2 on every copied trade which is really small.

My goal today is get to fix these errors, improve logging and figure out the reasons of delayed orders.

1768479471385.png

1768480638235.png
 
Last edited:
Advertise on BHW
You mean, you are betting on how will win in a certain bet on PolyMarket?
 
Burn3rs said:
I'm not betting, I'm copying people who bets.
Click to expand...
Very smart! But is that not risky? The bets are not completed so you can lose a lot if the bot copies multiple wrong trades in a row?
 
kweiss said:
Very smart! But is that not risky? The bets are not completed so you can lose a lot if the bot copies multiple wrong trades in a row?
Click to expand...
It's risky yes because you copy the decisions of others, but if they have a high winrate + good profits then they are worth copying in my opinion, my next goal is to add some risk management and not follow every trade blindly.
 
I will follow your jurney!
I am just starting out on polymarket.
Do you have any advice on how to find relevant players?
Which tools do you use?
Or any advice in general how not to lose money?

Thank you in advance
 
Best wishes on your journey. I like how you are automating the work. I am on a similar journey myself (betting) but its manual not automated.
 
Copy trading wallets works early but main bottleneck isnt prediction its execution + selection bias. Most profitable wallets front-run thin markets or size dynamically, if youre copying with latency + fixed $2 you get adverse fills + miss exits, scaling makes that worse

You need filters like min liquidity, skip late fills, cooldown per wallet, max correlated exposure + hard daily loss cap or one whale tilt wipes days of gains

Also log everything by block/time, most missed trades are RPC hiccups or nonce issues not logik
 
I actually liked your idea and I'm currently trying to implement my own version
for now It's on paper trading and no real money is involved
and the code is vibe coded (read slop and mess)
but im just checking on how much potential it has
then if it's promising I'll try to invest time and money to polish it
 
Thanks for forgetting about your journey and not updating it. Good job :slow clap:
 
Are you vibe coding? And have you fixed the errors in the first image.

Because I know how to fix both those errors and I'd like to know before I write up a response.
 
I had same idea but could not write a proper code for that, keep updating your journey because it's really interesting
 
Advertise on BHW
You must log in or register to reply here.
Sign up now!

Main Menu

Home Main Forum List Black Hat SEO White Hat SEO BHW Newbie Guide Blogging Black Hat Tools Social Media Downloads

Marketplace

Account Selling Content / Copywriting EBooks / Methods Hosting Misc Proxies For Sale SEO - Link building SEO - Packages Social Media Social Media - Panels Web Design More

Making Money

Affiliate Programs Hire a Freelancer IM Journeys Making Money Pay Per Click Site Flipping Want to Buy

BlackHat World

Dispute Resolution Forum Suggestions & Feedback Introductions Lounge
Back
Top